Deal Sniper

Ethan Hedges

3B · High-A · 22.0y · #3129 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

43 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

43 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Auto…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Ethan Hedges scores 43 out of 100 (#3129 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: below average

    7.7% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .152 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 62% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    3B is a position the hobby pays up for.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EHE — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 7 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-EHE

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

43 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 42 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 36 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EHE Ethan Hedges Rockies 1st Aqua Lava Auto /199

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $25.38

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EHE Ethan Hedges Rockies 1st Blue Wave Auto /150

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $26.49

    modeled ~$6.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Auto True Blue Refractor 1st /150 Rockies

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$6.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Auto Green Refractor 1st #/99 Rockies

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    modeled ~$29.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Ethan Hedges 1st Aqua Shimmer Auto /199 Rockies

    /199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 97d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

  • Ethan Hedges 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto True Orange /25 Au Rc Rockies (CPA-EH)

    /25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 66d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.47, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.61, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +259%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -15%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Aqua Lava /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $25.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +52%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue Wave /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $26.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +4%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 48 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 48 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    49

    average · better than 45% at his level

    26.1% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level

    .152 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    43

    below average · better than 23% at his level

    7.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    4 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .743 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 40th percentile of the cohort, production at the 59th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 40 and his production sits at 59, a gap of -19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 21th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.2 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

467

AVG

.261

OBP

.330

SLG

.413

OPS

.743

better than 59%

HR

14

SB

3

BB%

7.7

K%

26.1

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .537 up to .743 OPS — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Still at High-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.537.743

Power

.039.152

Walks

11.2%7.7%

Strikeouts

19.1%26.1%

Last season, 89 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market43 listed · 43 eBay-verified · 36 not shown above
Listings
43

43 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.47
Median ask
$13.28
Cheapest 1st auto
$5.47
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$16.75

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 36 cards

  • $16.752025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Bowman 1st Refractor Auto 213/499 RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $27.002025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges #CPA-EHE Chrome Auto Refractor /499 1st ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5.472025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EHE Ethan Hedges Colorado Rockies 1st Auto (b)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5.482025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EHE Ethan Hedges Colorado Rockies 1st Auto (a)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $5.492025 Bowman Chrome Draft Ethan Hedges Auto 1st #CPA-EHE Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $8.50Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Rockies CPA-EHE Chrome 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.312025 Topps Bowman Chrome #CPA-EHE Ethan Hedges 1st On Card Auto RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.222025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect - Ethan Hedges Auto Colorado Rockies #CPA-EHENEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.48Ethan Hedges 1st Bowman Chrome Auto CPA-EHE (RC) 2025 RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $15.132025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EHE RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $16.682025 Bowman Draft Chrome Ethan Hedges 1st Bowman Auto RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $17.002025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Auto 1st Prospect RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges 1st Chrome Prospect Auto CPA-EHE Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EHE Ethan Hedges Colorado Rockies 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-EHE Ethan Hedges Colorado Rockies 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Rockies CPA-EHE Chrome 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Rockies CPA-EHE Chrome 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges 1st Chrome AUTO #CPA-EHE Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Ethan Hedges 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome BDC-148 RC 1st Auto Mojo Refractor RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges 1st Chrome AUTO #CPA-EHE Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-EHE RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Ethan Hedges Auto Bowman Draft Chrome 1st 2025 Refractor #CPA-EHE RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Bowman 1st Auto - Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • ETHAN HEDGES 2025 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTOGRAPH ROCKIES AUTO Q4415NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Ethan Hedges, Colorado Rockies 1st Bowman AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Chrome Bowman 1st Auto - Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft- Ethan Hedges 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPAEH RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • ETHAN HEDGES 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-EHE SPARKLE REFRACTOR /71 1ST PROSPECT AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • ETHAN HEDGES 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-EHE CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT ROCKIESNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges 1st Chrome AUTO #CPA-EHE Colorado RockiesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Topps Bowman Draft 2025 Ethan Hedges Colorado Rockies Rookie 1st Auto CPA-EHENEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.452025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ethan Hedges #CPA-EHE Auto 0pj3NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $13.282025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Ethan Hedges #CPA-EHE Auto 16z7NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $19.612025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Ethan Hedges Auto tw0NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Draft Ethan Hedges Auto CPA-EHE Colorado Rockies 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player