Deal Sniper

Jhoan De La Cruz

SS · Rookie · 18.0y · #2934 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

45 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

46 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Jhoan De La Cruz scores 45 out of 100 (#2934 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 29 on the 20–80 scale (44.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Contact: bottom of the scale

    44.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .837 last season to .608 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for; only 18.0 — years of runway.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Swing-and-miss

    Contact grades 29 on the 20–80 scale (44.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 23 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 23 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 23 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $6.94 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

46 cards of his are listed, 3 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 43 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 37 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JDL JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 1st Prospect RC Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $6.94

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz #CPA-JDL Auto 1st Prospect Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 91d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome JHOAN DE LA CRUZ AUTO 1st Prospect #CPA-JDL Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 206d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.74

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO Jhoan De La Cruz CPA-JDL Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 112d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $10.99

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • Jhoan De La Cruz 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JDL Auto 1st RC

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 171d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.33

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz Auto 1ST #CPA-JDL Padres

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 149d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $11.49

    modeled ~$9.50

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder7 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $6.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +98%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $16.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +18%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $26.52, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +63%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Reptilian /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $22.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $255.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1060%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $366.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    10 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +44%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 43 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie

What he is good at

skills overall 43 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    29

    bottom of the scale · better than 2% at his level

    44.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    .111 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    45

    below average · better than 30% at his level

    12.7% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    46

    below average · better than 36% at his level

    18 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    41

    well below · better than 19% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .608 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 30th percentile of the cohort, production at the 19th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 30 and his production sits at 19, a gap of +11. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 67th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.2 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.

How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

166

AVG

.178

OBP

.319

SLG

.289

OPS

.608

better than 19%

HR

2

SB

5

BB%

12.7

K%

44.0

Is this player getting better?

Down from .837 to .608 OPS this season.

Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.

OPS

.837.608

Power

.101.111

Walks

23.2%12.7%

Strikeouts

22.7%44.0%

Last season, 198 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market46 listed · 46 eBay-verified · 37 not shown above
Listings
46

46 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$6.94
Median ask
$14.45
Cheapest 1st auto
$6.94
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$13.75

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 37 cards

  • $11.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Jhoan De La Cruz PadresLOTTERY
  • $13.392025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autographs Jhoan De La Cruz Auto San DiegoLOTTERY
  • $13.752025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz #CPA-JDL Auto Refractor /499 1st ProspectLOTTERY
  • $13.952025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Jhoan De La Cruz 1st ROOKIE AUTO PadresLOTTERY
  • $14.94JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH PADRES AUTO LOTTERY
  • $15.702025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz Prospect 1ST AUTO Autograph RC Rookie PADRESLOTTERY
  • $15.992025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz Auto 1st #CPA-JDL PadresLOTTERY
  • $16.272025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz 1st Bowman Speckle Auto /299 PadresLOTTERY
  • $16.302025 Bowman Chrome 1st - Jhoan De La Cruz #CPA-JDL Padres - Refractor /499 AUTOLOTTERY
  • $22.002025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Reptilian Ref /99 #CPA-JDL Jhoan De La CruzLOTTERY
  • $26.522025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 197/250 Jhoan De La Cruz Auto j8oNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $31.982025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz Auto Prospect #CPAJDL PSA 9 MINT 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $255.172025 Bowman Chrome - 1st Auto Jhoan De La Cruz, Gold Shimmer /50, Green Sapp /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $366.952025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz Black Refractor Auto 1st Prospect 4/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-JDL SPECKLE /299 1ST AUTO PSA 10 GEMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH GOLD SHIMMER AUTO /50 Padres NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz 1st True Yellow Auto /75 Color Match Padres NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JDL Jhoan De La Cruz 1st Refractor Auto #/499 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Jhoan De La Cruz Auto CPA-JDL PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jhoan De La Cruz Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome Base 1st Bowman Grab this card now !!!NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz 1st Bowman Auto Purple /250 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jhoan De La Cruz 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz Auto 1st #CPA-JDL PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Jhoan De La Cruz Padres AutographNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-JDC PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 🔥 Jhoan De La Cruz 🔥 Bowman 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz 1st Bowman Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH PADRES AUTO PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jhoan De La Cruz 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect #CPA-JDL RC AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Jhoan De La Cruz 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Card RC AUTO #CPA-JDL PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz Auto 1st Prospect Refractor #/499 PadresNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTO PURPLE REFRACTOR JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 68/250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz #CPA-JDO 1st Bowman Auto psa 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz #CPA-JDL 1st Bowman Auto Green Reptilian /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Jhoan De La Cruz Green Lava 1st Refractor Auto /99NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 BOWMAN JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 1ST AUTO🔥PSA 10🔥LOW POP🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • JHOAN DE LA CRUZ 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BLUE REPTILIAN AUTO /150 Q4687PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player