Deal Sniper

Dillon Lewis

CF · Double-A · 23.0y · #558 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

63 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

12 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

We can't see what this costs all in, so there's nothing to judge yet.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Dillon Lewis scores 63 out of 100 (#558 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    31.6% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power: plus-plus

    .256 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 93% at his level.

  • Moved up and held it

    High-A to Double-A.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Speed: above average

    28 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 67% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is Dillon Lewis 2026 Bowman Chrome Black Xfractor Refractor Auto 6/10 1st Prospect at $517, 127% over the $228 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

/10 at or under $228 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

12 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 12 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 6 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2026 Bowman Dillon Lewis Chrome Auto Reptilian Green Refractor 1st #/99 Yankees

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $52.50–101

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Dillon Lewis 2026 Bowman Chrome Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st Prospect RC

    /250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $36.49

    modeled $37.92–73.13

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Dillon Lewis 2026 Bowman Chrome Black Xfractor Refractor Auto 6/10 1st Prospect

    /10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $516.98

    sold $228

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2026 Bowman Dillon Lewis #CPA-DL Auto Green Shimmer Refractor /99 1st Bowman

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $52.50–101

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2026 Dillon Lewis Bowman Chrome Auto True Gold Refractor 1st 44/50 Yankees SP

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 63d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    sold $135

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Dillon Lewis #CPA-DL Gold Refractor Auto 1st /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 71d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $255.95

    modeled $24.80–90

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Dillon Lewis, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $18.25–$38.31, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 59 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $278.89, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $278.89 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $36.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $36.49 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -87%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Mojo /150THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $255.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $255.95 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $516.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $516.98 live
    Scarcity
    10 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +102%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 52 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    42

    below average · better than 20% at his level

    31.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    65

    plus-plus · better than 93% at his level

    .256 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    47

    average · better than 37% at his level

    8.8% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    54

    above average · better than 67% at his level

    28 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .792 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 54th percentile of the cohort, production at the 74th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 81% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 54 and his production sits at 74, a gap of -20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 19th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.9 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

297

AVG

.233

OBP

.303

SLG

.489

OPS

.792

better than 74%

HR

17

SB

14

BB%

8.8

K%

31.6

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .746 to .792 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.

Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.

OPS

.746▲.792

Power

.198▲.256

Walks

10.8%▼8.8%

Strikeouts

20.8%▲31.6%

Last season, 332 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26 — $25.00 · /150 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market12 listed · 12 eBay-verified · 6 not shown above
Listings
12

12 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$36.49
Median ask
$267.42
Cheapest 1st auto
$36.49
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$36.49

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 6 cards

  • $278.89Topps Bowman Dillon Lewis Auto 1st Bowman On-Card 75 Limited Signed Baseball CaPASS
  • —2026 Bowman Chrome Prospects Dillon Lewis Red X-Refractor On Card Auto 5/5PASS
  • —2026 Bowman Chrome DILLON LEWIS 1st PURPLE Refractor Auto /250 Yankees MarlinsPASS
  • —Dillon Lewis 2026 1st Bowman True Yellow Chrome Auto 24/75 RC Yankees/MarlinsPASS
  • —2026 Bowman- Dillon Lewis Yankees, On Card Auto True Gold 1st Bowman /50PASS
  • —2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Dillon Lewis Orange Wave Refractor Auto /25 YankeesPASS

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now