Deal Sniper

Kristian Campbell

2B · Triple-A · 24.0y · #2183 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

48 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Kristian…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Kristian Campbell scores 48 out of 100 (#2183 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Triple-A — younger than 87% of the players there.

  • Contact: below average

    28.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • OPS slipping

    .799 last season to .725 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .144 last season to .103 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    16.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 87% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Draft 1st Auto — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2023 Bowman Draft 1st Auto

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 24 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 18 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome Draft AUTO Kristian Campbell (RC)

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $34.98

    modeled ~$9.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Kristian Campbell Auto #CDA-KCA

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $43.95

    modeled ~$9.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Rookie Blue Refractor 18/150 Kristian Campbell Auto RC 6m7

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $44.33

    modeled ~$53.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Kristian Campbell #CDA-KCA Auto 02d2

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $74.81

    modeled ~$9.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Kristian Campbell #CDA-KCA Auto 14a1

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 5d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $97.82

    modeled ~$9.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2023 Bowman Draft Kristian Campbell Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Bowman RC PSA 10

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 200d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $257.00

    modeled ~$124.50

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Kristian Campbell, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $17.49–$36.73, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $34.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $34.98 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $44.33, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $44.33 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +27%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $306.00 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +590%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $306.00 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $357.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $357.99 live
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +17%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

8 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 49 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    43

    below average · better than 25% at his level

    28.1% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    44

    below average · better than 27% at his level

    .103 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    16.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    48

    average · better than 44% at his level

    8 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .725 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 42th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 42, a gap of +4. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 53th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 6.2 / 10

  • already at Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

424

AVG

.245

OBP

.377

SLG

.348

OPS

.725

better than 42%

HR

5

SB

6

BB%

16.0

K%

28.1

Is this player getting better?

Down from .799 to .725 OPS this season.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.799▼.725

Power

.144▼.103

Walks

11.9%▲16.0%

Strikeouts

26.3%▲28.1%

Last season, 319 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 18 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$34.98
Median ask
$267.49
Cheapest 1st auto
$43.95
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$266.98

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 18 cards

  • $266.982023 Bowman Kristian Campbell Chrome Auto Blue Wave 1st #’d /150 SGC 9.5/10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $267.992023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Kristian Campbell #CDA-KCA Auto 1f5hNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $281.502023 Bowman Draft Kristian Campbell Chrome Prospect Auto 1st Bowman PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $281.992023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Kristian Campbell PURPLE /250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $306.00Bowman 1st Auto /99 Kristian Campbell Green Refractor Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $306.00Bowman 1st Auto /99 Kristian Campbell Green Lava Refractor Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $357.992023 Kristian Campbell Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor SPARKLE /71 Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $504.49PSA 9 - 2023 Bowman Draft KRISTIAN CAMPBELL 1st Gold Wave Refractor AUTO 06/50NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Kristian Campbell #CDA-KCANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Refractor Kristian Campbell #CDA-KCA 188/499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Topps 2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Bowman Kristian Campbell RC Auto #BDC-125NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Kristian Campbell SGC 10 Bowman 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Sparkle Refractor Kristian Campbell 1st Auto /71 Red SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Kristian Campbell Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor 1st #174/199NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Kristian Campbell Pros Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Chrome Draft Kristian Campbell Prospect On Card Auto 1st Bowman (AU)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2023 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Purple Auto Kristian Campbell RC /250 PSA 9 MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Kristian Campbell 2023 Bowman Draft #CDA-KCA 1st Auto Chrome Autograph Red SoxPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now