Jhonny Severino
SS · High-A · 21.0y · #177 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
75 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best /50 asks $182, over the $134 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JS JHONNY… at $17.94. Needs a $8 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, expensive market.
Jhonny Severino scores 75 out of 100 (#177 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $9–18 off 3 confirmed sales.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
Plate discipline: well below
6.3% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Power: plus-plus
.277 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 95% at his level.
The case is strengthening
Baseball momentum 76/100 — ahead of the thesis. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JS — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$9.45–17.60midpoint $12.50
Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 4 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JS
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Jhonny Severino 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-JS RC Pirates at $25.90, 107% over the $10.50–16 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $10.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $8 drop
- Player not there yet
- 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JS JHONNY… at or under $10 delivered.
- On his best-priced card: not a core card.
What is for sale right now
20 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 20 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 14 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Chrome Jhonny Severino 1st Yellow Refractor Auto /75 Pirates #CPA-JS
/75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $11.34–49.28
PASS
Jhonny Severino 2025 Bowman Chrome CPSA-JS 1st AUTO Green Sapphire [#67/99]
/99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$199.60
modeled $10.21–44.35
PASS
Jhonny Severino 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue Reptilian /150 CPA-JS
/150 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$49.70
modeled $8.51–36.96
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Jhonny Severino Blue Wave Refractor /150 Pirates
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 8d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $8.51–36.96
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Jhonny Severino Blue Wave Refractor /150 Pirates
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $8.51–36.96
PASS
Jhonny Severino 2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-JS First (1st) AUTO Refractor [#306/499]
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$129.60
modeled $6.52–28.34
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Jhonny Severino, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $8.97–$18.84, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $17.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $17.94 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $129.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $129.60 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +622%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Reptilian /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $49.70, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $49.70 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -62%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sapphire /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $199.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $199.60 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +302%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $181.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $181.50 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -9%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
4 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 53 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 53 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
54
above average · better than 65% at his level
22.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
66
plus-plus · better than 95% at his level
.277 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
40
well below · better than 16% at his level
6.3% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 61% at his level
22 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · the result, not a skill
.839 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 59th percentile of the cohort, production at the 80th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 83% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 59 and his production sits at 80, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 17th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.1 / 10
- hitting well — 0.839 OPS in 431 PA (not ranked against his level)
- form is climbing
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
431
AVG
.258
OBP
.304
SLG
.535
OPS
.839
better than 80%
HR
29
SB
16
BB%
6.3
K%
22.0
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .636 to .839 after moving up to High-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.636▲.839
Power
.144▲.277
Walks
6.8%→6.3%
Strikeouts
25.2%▼22.0%
Last season, 468 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market20 listed · 20 eBay-verified · 14 not shown above
- Listings
- 20
- Lowest seen
- $17.94
- Median ask
- $181.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $17.94
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $49.70
20 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 14 cards
- $129.60Jhonny Severino 2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-JS First (1st) AUTO Refractor [#266/499]PASS
- —Jhonny Severino 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-JSPASS
- —2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Jhonny Severino Auto #CPA-JS Refractor #425/499PASS
- $181.50JHONNY SEVERINO 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto GOLD REFRACTOR AUTO /50🔥🔥🔥PASS
- $256.002025 Bowman Chrome Jhonny Severino Auto Blue Refractor /150 1st Prospect PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $316.45JHONNY SEVERINO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SAPPHIRE GREEN AUTO /99 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $336.85JHONNY SEVERINO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SAPPHIRE AUTO /199 BGS 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $354.112025 Bowman Chrome JHONNY SEVERINO 1st Auto Gold Shimmer /50 PSA 10 Rookie RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Jhonny Severino 1st Bowman True Blue Auto /150PASS
- —2025 Bowman 1st Jhonny Severino Speckle Auto /299PASS
- $17.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-JS JHONNY SEVERINO 1st Prospect PiratesPASS
- $25.90Jhonny Severino 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-JS RC PiratesPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JS JHONNY SEVERINO Auto 1st Autograph Pirates OnCardPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Jhonny Severino 1st auto x3PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run