Warel Solano
SS · Rookie · 18.0y · #2103 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Below market
- What to do
- Wait
49 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $5.24 against the $6.50 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WS 1st…. Evidence still thin.
Our take
Fringe prospect, and the market has not caught up.
Warel Solano scores 49 out of 100 (#2103 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $5–8 off 1 confirmed sale.
The price is below the sold band, but the player behind it is not one we rate highly. A cheap card of a weak prospect is still a weak position.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.
Plate discipline: below average
11.5% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
OPS slipping
.809 last season to .694 this one.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Speed: above average
38 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 64% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-WS — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 34 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$4.88–8.13midpoint $6.50
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-25 · 36 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-WS
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 34 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Base$5.24delivered
Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-WS Rays — $5.24 delivered, 19% under the $6.50 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.
See it on eBayWhat would make this a buy
- Evidence still thin
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
50 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 49 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 43 are under "The whole live market".
Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-WS Rays
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$5.24
sold $6.50
LOTTERY · 19% under
Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WS 1st AUTO
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d
Evidence still thin · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $6.50
PASS · 23% under
2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano 1st Bowman Base Auto Tampa Bay Rays Rookie RC
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $6.50
PASS · 8% under
2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano 1st Bowman Auto Tampa Bay Rays On Card
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $6.50
PASS · 8% under
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Warel Solano Auto CPA-WS Rays
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 36d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
sold $6.50
PASS · 8% under
Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano 1st Bowman Auto HTA /150 CPA-WS Rays
/150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 69d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$10.50
modeled $4.39–17.06
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.24 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.27, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.27 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +134%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Sparkle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $13.99 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +14%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.50 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Reptilian /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +233%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /5 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $354.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $354.98 live
- Scarcity
- 5 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +915%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
49
average · better than 47% at his level
21.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
50
average · better than 49% at his level
.105 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
43
below average · better than 23% at his level
11.5% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
54
above average · better than 64% at his level
38 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
47
average · better than 39% at his level · the result, not a skill
.694 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 46th percentile of the cohort, production at the 39th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 46 and his production sits at 39, a gap of +7. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 61th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.5 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
192
AVG
.245
OBP
.344
SLG
.350
OPS
.694
better than 39%
HR
1
SB
12
BB%
11.5
K%
21.9
Is this player getting better?
Down from .809 to .694 OPS this season.
Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.
OPS
.809▼.694
Power
.099→.105
Walks
9.2%▲11.5%
Strikeouts
16.4%▲21.9%
Last season, 207 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-25 — $6.49 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market50 listed · 50 eBay-verified · 43 not shown above
- Listings
- 50
- Lowest live
- $5.24
- Median ask
- $12.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.24
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $10.50
50 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 43 cards
- $6.45Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WS 1st AUTOLOTTERY
- $354.982025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO WAREL SOLANO RAYS BUBBLEGUM REFRACTOR #5/5 SSPPASS
- —Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WS 1st AUTO raysPASS
- —WAREL SOLANO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-WS TRUE ORANGE REFRACTOR /25 1ST AUTOPASS
- $402.192025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Gold Refractor 7/50 Warel Solano PSA 9 Auto 0xh3NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano CPA-WS 1st Base Prospect Auto Rays PASS
- $34.98Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Reptilian Green #BCP-WS /99PASS
- $16.272025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WS Warel Solano 1st Bowman Mini-Diamond Auto /100LOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano Auto Mini Diamond Refractor 1st #/100 RaysPASS
- $7.27WAREL SOLANO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL RAYS L AUTO Q1300LOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-WS Purple Refractor /250PASS
- $13.99Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Sparkle Speckle /299 Rays LOTTERY
- $12.272025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-WS Warel Solano 1st Bowman True Refractor Auto /499LOTTERY
- —WAREL SOLANO 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-WS Refractor RC Autograph Auto /499PASS
- $8.002025 Bowman Chrome 1st Warel Solano Auto #CPA-WS Tampa Bay RaysLOTTERY
- $9.95Warel Solano 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Auto Tampa Bay RaysLOTTERY
- $10.24WAREL SOLANO 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-WSLOTTERY
- $10.532025 Bowman Chrome WAREL SOLANO RC 1st Auto Tampa Bay Rays Prospect JA347LOTTERY
- $11.982025 Bowman Chrome Baseball - 1st Auto CPA-WS TB Rays - WAREL SOLANOLOTTERY
- $12.342025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Warel Solano #CPA-WS 1st Chrome AutoLOTTERY
- $13.942025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano CPA-WS 1st Base Prospect Auto Rays LOTTERY
- $13.982025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $14.00WAREL SOLANO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH RAYS AUTO ROOKIE RCLOTTERY
- $16.502025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano 1st Bowman Auto RaysLOTTERY
- $25.682025 Bowman Chrome - Warel Solano 1st BASE Auto #CPA-WS RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano 1st Bowman Auto CPA-WS Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- —WAREL SOLANO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH RAYS AUTOPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-WS Tampa Bay RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano Prospect Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-WS RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs 1st Bowman Warel Solano Auto TB Rays FirePASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Warel Solano 1st BASE Auto #CPA-WS RaysPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-WS RaysPASS
- —WAREL SOLANO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH RAYS AUTO A0084PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano #CPA-WS 1st Bowman Auto PASS
- —WAREL SOLANO #CPA-WS | 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN ON-CARD AUTO - RAYS RR3PASS
- —WAREL SOLANO #CPA-WS | 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN ON-CARD AUTO - RAYS RR2PASS
- —WAREL SOLANO #CPA-WS | 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BOWMAN ON-CARD AUTO - RAYS RR1PASS
- —WAREL SOLANO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASE RAYS AUTOPASS
- —WAREL SOLANO 2025 1ST BOWMAN CHROME ON CARD AUTOPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano CPA-WS 1st Base Prospect Auto Rays PASS
- $12.992025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano CPA-WS 1st Base Prospect Auto Rays LOTTERY
- $20.772025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Warel Solano #CPA-WS Auto v9tLOTTERY
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Warel Solano #CPA-WS 1st Prospects Auto Green reptilian /99PASS
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run