Joseph Dzierwa
SP · Double-A · 22.0y · #1968 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
50 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
25 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Joseph Dzierwa 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Aqua…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Joseph Dzierwa scores 50 out of 100 (#1968 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
We have 2 confirmed sales of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 91% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
What the hobby pays up for
SP sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
No professional sample
We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.
Thin comp evidence
2 confirmed sales in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JD — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 3 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 3 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JD
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 3 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".
2025 Bowman Draft Joseph Dzierwa Chrome Auto Yellow Refractor 1st #/75 PSA 9 MNT
/75 · PSA 9 · listed 15d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$305.50
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2025 Bowman Draft Joseph Dzierwa Chrome Auto Yellow Refractor 1st 45/75 Beauty
/75 · raw · condition not stated · listed 7d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$310.50
modeled ~$35.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
JOSEPH DZIERWA 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT CHROME BLUE WAVE REF. AUTO RC /150 PSA 10/10 BA
/150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 6d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$705.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Joseph Dzierwa 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Aqua Lava Auto #/199 Refractor Orioles
/199 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$14.76
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Joseph Dzierwa 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Yellow Refractor Auto /75 Orioles
/75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$35.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Joseph Dzierwa 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Sparkle Refractor Auto /71 Orioles
/71 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$22.27
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Joseph Dzierwa, just what the money can do today.
- Luke AdamsRefractor · /499$49.99Watch
- Christian MooreRefractor · /499$45.94Watch
- Luke AdamsGreen Mojo Refractor · /99$61.74Watch
Compared within $30.49–$64.03, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
2 listings watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $60.98 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $189.34, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $189.34 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +211%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $238.75, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $238.75 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $310.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $310.50 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +30%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $747.04, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $747.04 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +141%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet
What he is good at
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
—
not measured for him yet
—
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
—
not measured for him yet
—
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
—
not measured for him yet
—
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
—
not measured for him yet
—
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
—
not measured for him yet
—
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingno season line on file
We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.
What his cards have sold for2 logged sales
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Point at a dot to see that sale.
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
- Listings
- 25
- Lowest seen
- $60.98
- Median ask
- $305.50
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $60.98
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $238.75
25 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 19 cards
- —2025 Bowman Draft Joseph Dzierwa Chrome Auto Sparkle Refractor 1st #/71 OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Joseph Dzierwa 1st Bowman Chrome Auto /75 Yellow Refractor NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Joseph Dzierwa Black XFractor Auto /10 - 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Blue Wave Joseph Dzierwa Auto #CPA-JD /150 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $60.982025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Joseph Dzierwa #CPA-JD Auto 1stNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $747.04Joseph Dzierwa 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-JD First (1st) AUTO Gold Shimmer [#48/50]NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Joseph Dzierwa 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-JD Baltimore OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Joseph Dzierwa Auto Prospect #CPA-JD OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Joseph Dzierwa 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JD Orioles RCNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft 1st Chrome Prospect Auto RC Joseph Dzierwa #CPA-JD Blue WaveNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Joseph Dzierwa Orioles CPA-JDNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Joseph Dzierwa Auto Prospect #CPA-JD OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Joseph Dzierwa Bowman Draft 2025 Chrome Auto Orioles 1st 🚀NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft - JOSEPH DZIERWA - #CPA-JD Chrome Auto 1st Prospect - OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft Chrome Auto Joseph Dzierwa #CPA-JD Black Refractor # 3/10 NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $238.75Joseph Dzierwa 2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-JD First (1st) AUTO Purple [#051/250]NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JOSEPH DZIERWA 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-JD YELLOW REFRACTOR /75 1ST PROSPECT AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
- $189.342025 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor Joseph Dzierwa Auto 1n9cNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2025 Bowman Draft : Joseph Dzierwa : 1st Bowman True Gold /50 Auto : OriolesNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
- We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run