Jake Fox
CF · Double-A · 23.0y · #1909 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
50 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
11 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is Jake Fox Auto SIGNED 2021 Bowman Chrome… at $9.60. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Jake Fox scores 50 out of 100 (#1909 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.
Power: below average
.078 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Plate discipline: plus-plus
21.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 97% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Contact: plus
16.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 91% at his level.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /250 at $8.78 costs 0.91× base, and print run alone suggests 1.30×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
11 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 11 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 5 are under "The whole live market".
2022 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Refractor /499 Jake Fox #CPA-JF
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 100d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$5.78
modeled ~$12.99
LOTTERY
2022 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Jake Fox #CPA-JF Auto
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 100d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$8.78
modeled ~$20.00
LOTTERY
Jake Fox Auto SIGNED 2021 Bowman Chrome BDC-102 1st Cleveland Guardians
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 73d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$9.60
modeled ~$10.00
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome Jake Fox PSA 9 Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-JF Rookie
/499 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 14d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$12.00
modeled ~$35.67
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor 39/250 Jake Fox #CPA-JF Auto 0hj7
/250 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$12.71
modeled ~$20.00
LOTTERY
2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Jake Fox #CPA-JF PSA 9 MINT Auto 0c3e
/499 · PSA 9 · listed 23d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$24.78
modeled ~$35.67
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.60, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.60 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.78 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -40%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.78 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +52%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Superfractor 1/1THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10001.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10001.24 live
- Scarcity
- 1 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +113809%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 57 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
63
plus · better than 91% at his level
16.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
42
below average · better than 20% at his level
.078 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level
21.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
54
above average · better than 64% at his level
26 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level · the result, not a skill
.806 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill
+1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 68th percentile of the cohort, production at the 77th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 68 and his production sits at 77, a gap of -9. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 34th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- already at Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
137
AVG
.291
OBP
.437
SLG
.369
OPS
.806
better than 77%
HR
0
SB
6
BB%
21.2
K%
16.1
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 5 not shown above
- Listings
- 11
- Lowest seen
- $5.78
- Median ask
- $12.71
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.78
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $5.78
11 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 8 hours ago.
The other 5 cards
- $42.042022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 11/99 Jake Fox PSA 9 MINT Auto 09anNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $10001.24Jake Fox 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Superfractor Guardians 1/1 #CPA-JFNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $10001.24Jake Fox 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto Superfractor Guardians 1/1 #CPA-JFNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2022 Bowman Chrome Jake Fox Prospect Auto Purple Refractor #/250 SGC 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jake Fox 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto Refractor /499 Guardians PSA 10PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run