Freili Encarnacion
SS · Greenville Drive · High-A · 21.0y · #1830 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
51 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
11 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome FREILI ENCARNACION Auto…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Freili Encarnacion scores 51 out of 100 (#1830 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Young for the level
+2.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 90% of the players there.
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: above average
.167 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 68% at his level.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
SS is a position the hobby pays up for.
OPS improving
.599 last season to .676 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
11 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 9 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 3 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Freili Encarnacion Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-FE Red Sox PSA 9
Red · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 145d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$30.62
modeled ~$30.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome FREILI ENCARNACION Auto 1st CPA-FE Boston Red Sox
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 82d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$8.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Freili Encarnacion PSA 10 Auto
base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 75d
Not a core card · 2 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
modeled ~$124.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome Mega Freili Encarnacion Mojo Refractor Auto #BMA-FE SGC 9.5
Mojo Refractor · SGC 9.5 · listed 997d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Topps Bowman Chrome 2023 Freili Encarnacion Red Sox 1st Auto CPA-FE
Red · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 36d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$8.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor /299 Freili Encarnacion Auto n5h
/299 · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$79.12
modeled ~$9.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $79.12, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $79.12 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
5 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
49
average · better than 47% at his level
25.8% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
55
above average · better than 68% at his level
.167 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 48% at his level
11.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
47
average · better than 40% at his level
9 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
48
average · better than 41% at his level · the result, not a skill
.676 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
63
plus · better than 90% at his level · context, not a skill
+2.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 51th percentile of the cohort, production at the 41th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 51 and his production sits at 41, a gap of +10. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 64th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.4 / 10
- nothing stands out either way
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
190
AVG
.193
OBP
.316
SLG
.360
OPS
.676
better than 41%
HR
6
SB
3
BB%
11.1
K%
25.8
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .599 up to .676 OPS.
Still at High-A, the same level as last season.
OPS
.599▲.676
Power
.137▲.167
Walks
5.3%▲11.1%
Strikeouts
27.4%▼25.8%
Last season, 266 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market11 listed · 11 eBay-verified · 3 not shown above
- Listings
- 11
- Lowest live
- $30.62
- Median ask
- $36.29
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $30.62
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- —
11 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 3 cards
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run