Deal Sniper

Johan De Los Santos

SS · Bradenton Marauders · Low-A · 18.0y · #1698 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

52 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Expensive

His best base card asks $40.99, over the $34 that card has sold in.

What to do
Watch

The ask is over the odds — $40.99 against $34.00 these actually sell for — so the ask is not the price to think about. The offer is.

Our take

Fringe prospect, expensive market.

Johan De Los Santos scores 52 out of 100 (#1698 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +3.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 100% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $26–43 off 1 confirmed sale.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 93 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +3.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 100% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    5.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus-plus

    84 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Contact: plus

    14.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 91% at his level.

Why now

  • 4 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    93 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

  • Asks above the sold band

    Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JDLS — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$25.50–42.50midpoint $34.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-23 · 7 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JDLS

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2025 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos 1st Auto #CPA-JDLS Pirates Top Prospect at $78.24, 130% over the $34 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $34 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: evidence still thin.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

19 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 19 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 13 are under "The whole live market".

  • Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos 1st Auto Speckle /299 CPA-JDLS

    /299 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $80

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Johan De Los Santos 2025 1st Bowman Chrome BLACK Reptilian Auto /10 Pirates

    /10 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $45.90–179

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Johan De Los Santos 1st /75 2025 Bowman Chrome Yellow Refractor Auto #CPA-JDLS

    /75 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 15d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $30.60–119

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos Bowman 1st Auto True Green /99 #CPA-JDLS

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 57d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $306.00

    modeled $27.54–107

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos 1st Green Lava Auto /99 #CPA-JDLS Pirates

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 13d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $27.54–107

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • Johan De Los Santos 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Blue RayWave Auto /150 Pirates

    /150 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 62d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    $306.08

    modeled $22.95–89.25

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Johan De Los Santos, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $20.50–$43.04, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $40.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $40.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $123.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $123.94 live
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +202%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $183.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $183.94 live
    Scarcity
    199 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +48%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Blue RayWave /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.08, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $306.08 live
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +66%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • True Green /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $306.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $306.00 live
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 54 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 54 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    63

    plus · better than 91% at his level

    14.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    47

    average · better than 37% at his level

    .092 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    37

    well below · better than 10% at his level

    5.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level

    84 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    42

    below average · better than 21% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .568 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level · context, not a skill

    +3.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 59th percentile of the cohort, production at the 21th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 97% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 59 and his production sits at 21, a gap of +38. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 97th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.6 / 10

  • young for Low-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

93

AVG

.218

OBP

.258

SLG

.310

OPS

.568

better than 21%

HR

1

SB

13

BB%

5.4

K%

14.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market19 listed · 19 eBay-verified · 13 not shown above
Listings
19

19 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$40.99
Median ask
$153.94
Cheapest 1st auto
$40.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$123.94

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 13 cards

  • —Johan De Los Santos 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-JDLS PiratesPASS
  • $123.942025 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos Auto Purple Refractor /250 1st ProspectPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos Auto Purple Refractor 1st #/250 PiratesPASS
  • $183.942025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Johan De Los Santos #CPSA-JDL Auto /199 1st ProspectPASS
  • —🔥2025 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Johan De Los Santos 1st, Auto /199 #CPSA-JDL, SP🔥PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Johan De Los Santos Speckle Refractor /299 PiratesPASS
  • —Topps 2024 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos 1st Bowman Auto CPA-JDLS PiratesPASS
  • $40.992025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect -- JOHAN De Los SANTOS -- Auto #CPA-JDLS PiratesPASS
  • $78.242025 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos 1st Auto #CPA-JDLS Pirates Top ProspectPASS
  • —Johan De Los Santos 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Pittsburgh PiratesPASS
  • —Johan De Los Santos 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Base Auto CPA-JDLSPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect Autographs Johan De Los Santos 1st Bowman AutoPASS
  • —Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Johan De Los Santos 1st Auto Refractor /499 CPA-JDLSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now