Deal Sniper

Richard Matic

3B · Rookie · 19.0y · #1661 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

53 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

18 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is Richard Matic 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome…. Priced above value.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Richard Matic scores 53 out of 100 (#1661 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .156 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 74% at his level.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $11–22 off 3 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Plate discipline: below average

    13.6% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • OPS slipping

    1.053 last season to .833 this one.

  • Power slipping

    .230 last season to .156 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .156 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 74% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RM — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 4 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$11.25–22midpoint $19.99

Confirmed· 3 salesmost recent 2026-08-23 · 4 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RM

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 4 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

No rung of his has both a live ask and a confirmed sold value, so there is no measured entry today.

$15.99 delivered on his closest listing is where the evidence would support a buy.

What would make this a buy

  • Priced above value
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.

What is for sale right now

18 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 16 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 10 are under "The whole live market".

  • Richard Matic 2025 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect AUTO #CPA-RM

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $12.50–20

    PASS · 10% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman #CPA-RM Richard Matic 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $12.50–20

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospects Richard Matic #CPA-RM Auto Yankees

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Priced above value · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    sold $12.50–20

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Richard Matic Chrome Auto Gold Lava Refractor 1st #/50 Yankees

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 58d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled $16.20–73.92

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 🔥⚾️RICHARD MATIC 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Grass Refractor Auto SP /99!⚾️🔥

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 10d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    modeled $12.15–55.44

    PASS

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Richard Matic Blue X-Fractor AUTO /150#CPA-RM Psa 10

    /150 · PSA 10 · listed 358d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $304.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Richard Matic, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $48.91–$102.70, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $97.81, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $97.81 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —

9 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    48

    average · better than 42% at his level

    23.1% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level

    .156 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    46

    below average · better than 36% at his level

    13.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    53

    above average · better than 61% at his level

    34 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    56

    above average · better than 73% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .833 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    51

    average · better than 54% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 73th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 80% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 73, a gap of -20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 20th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.7 / 10

  • hitting well — 0.833 OPS in 264 PA (not ranked against his level)

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.

How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

264

AVG

.283

OBP

.394

SLG

.439

OPS

.833

better than 73%

HR

4

SB

15

BB%

13.6

K%

23.1

Is this player getting better?

Down from 1.053 to .833 OPS this season.

Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.

OPS

1.053▼.833

Power

.230▼.156

Walks

20.9%▼13.6%

Strikeouts

22.5%→23.1%

Last season, 191 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market18 listed · 18 eBay-verified · 10 not shown above
Listings
18

18 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$97.81
Median ask
$305.20
Cheapest 1st auto
$304.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$304.99

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 10 cards

  • $345.00Richard Matic 2025 Bowman #CPA-RM Orange Shimmer Auto 1st Prospect 21/25 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Richard Matic 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto Green Reptilian /99 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —RICHARD MATIC 2025 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO #CPARM SPECKLE REFRACTOR /299 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —RICHARD MATIC 2025 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO #CPARM SPECKLE REFRACTOR /299 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Richard Matic 2025 1st Bowman Speckle Refractor Auto /299 PSA 10 Yankees #CPARMNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Richard Matic Bowman Chrome Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto #/50 PSA 10 YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —RICHARD MATIC 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RM Orange Wave Refractor Auto /25 PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $305.402025 Bowman 1st Bowman Richard Matic SGC Auto 10/9.5 Orange Reptilian 18/25NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $97.812025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Richard Matic #CPA-RM Auto 0hv6PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Richard Matic 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-RM YankeesPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now