Victor Hurtado
CF · Rookie · 19.0y · #1454 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
55 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
12 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2024 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto…. Priced above value.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Victor Hurtado scores 55 out of 100 (#1454 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: above average — .148 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 71% at his level.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–5 off 2 confirmed sales.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: above average
.148 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 71% at his level.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: above average
46 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 74% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
CF is a position the hobby pays up for; only 19.0 — years of runway.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-VH — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.69–4.68midpoint $4.25
Evidence limited· 2 salesmost recent 2026-08-22 · 6 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-VH
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Reptilian Refractor Victor Hurtado Auto 1k9t at $120, 2727% over the $2.99–4.25 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $2.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Priced above value
- Player not there yet
- On his best-priced card: waiting on sales.
What is for sale right now
12 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 12 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 6 are under "The whole live market".
Victor Hurtado 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Orange Refractor /25 #CPA-VH National
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 63d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$301.99
modeled $4.84–19.64
PASS
Victor Hurtado 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto #/499 Washington Nationals
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 27d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled $1.86–7.53
PASS
2024 Bowman Chrome Victor Hurtado 1st Bowman Auto PSA 9 MINT Nationals 📈🔥
base · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 71d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$30.94
modeled ~$30.99
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome Victor Hurtado 1st Auto True Blue Refractor /150 PSA 10 GEM
/150 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 152d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$335.95
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2024 Bowman Chrome Victor Hurtado Auto Purple Refractor 219/250 PSA 9
/250 · PSA 9 · takes offers · listed 612d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
—
modeled ~$41.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Victor Hurtado 2024 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-VH Nationals
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 86d
Needs a $8 drop · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.24
sold $2.99–4.25
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder3 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.24 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Blue Reptilian RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $120.13, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $120.13 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +969%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $301.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $301.99 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +151%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 55 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
53
above average · better than 61% at his level
19.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level
.148 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
18.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
56
above average · better than 74% at his level
46 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
55
above average · better than 68% at his level · the result, not a skill
.817 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 54% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 68th percentile of the cohort, production at the 68th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 68 and his production sits at 68, a gap of 0. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 50th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.7 / 10
- hitting well — 0.817 OPS in 105 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
105
AVG
.259
OBP
.410
SLG
.407
OPS
.817
better than 68%
HR
3
SB
8
BB%
18.1
K%
19.0
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market12 listed · 12 eBay-verified · 6 not shown above
- Listings
- 12
- Lowest seen
- $11.24
- Median ask
- $28.08
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $11.24
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $301.99
12 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 8 hours ago.
The other 6 cards
- $11.702024 Bowman Chrome Victor Hurtado Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-VH NationalsPASS
- $11.992024 Bowman Chrome Victor Hurtado Autograph 1st AutoPASS
- $25.21Victor Hurtado Auto 1st Bowman 2024 Bowman Chrome Washington Nationals (JS1)PASS
- $120.132024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Blue Reptilian Refractor Victor Hurtado Auto 1k9tPASS
- —2024 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Victor Hurtado #CPA-VHPASS
- —VICTOR HURTADO 2024 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-VH AUTO 1ST PROSPECT NATIONALSPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run