Deal Sniper

Gavin Fien

SS · Low-A · 19.0y · #991 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

58 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Below market

His best Mojo Refractor asks $15.38 against the $20 that card has sold in.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Gavin Fien HTA… at $262. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, and the market has not caught up.

Gavin Fien scores 58 out of 100 (#991 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $15–25 off 1 confirmed sale.

A prospect we rate, and cards of his asking less than they have been selling for — but none of them has cleared our own bar yet. What would change that is spelled out below.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +2.0y vs his level at Low-A — younger than 97% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: above average

    .163 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 73% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for; only 19.0 — years of runway.

  • OPS improving

    .608 last season to .740 this one.

Why now

  • Listed at your price — $15.38

    target is $16.00

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman draft chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-GF — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 6 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$15–25midpoint $20.00

Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-22 · 6 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Draft 1st Auto CPA-GF

Raw base 1st Bowman Draft Chrome Auto

The draft-class equivalent of the canonical auto — same card kind, other product line. Identified from 6 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Base$15.38delivered

2026 Bowman Chrome Gavin Fien Mojo Refractor Auto #BMA-GF Rangers — $15.38 delivered, 23% under the $20 that copies of this exact card have confirmed sold in.

See it on eBay

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet
  • On his best-priced card: not a core card.

What is for sale right now

25 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 25 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 19 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome Gavin Fien Mojo Refractor Auto #BMA-GF Rangers

    Mojo Refractor · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman

    $15.38

    sold $20

    LOTTERY · 23% under

    eBayBreakdown

  • Gavin Fien 2025 First Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 9 Rangers

    base · PSA 9 · listed 8d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 90h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $46.50

    modeled ~$30.99

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Gavin Fien 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Signed Autograph Rookie RC PSA 10 Auto Rangers

    base · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 1d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $85.98

    modeled ~$116.49

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 1st Bowman Draft * Chrome On Card * Gavin Fien Auto PSA Low Pop Nationals

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $142.90

    modeled ~$80.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Gavin Fien HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 RC PSA 10

    /150 · PSA 10 · listed 10d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $261.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • PSA 10 GM 2025 Bowman Draft Gavin Fien 1st Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor #/199

    /199 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 27d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $307.49

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Gavin Fien, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $7.69–$16.15, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $30.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $30.95 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $15.38, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $15.38 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -50%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

9 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 530 hitters at Low-A

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 530 hitters at Low-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    49

    average · better than 45% at his level

    26.6% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    56

    above average · better than 73% at his level

    .163 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    52

    average · better than 58% at his level

    12.6% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    47

    average · better than 39% at his level

    11 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    53

    above average · better than 62% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .740 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · context, not a skill

    +2.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 54th percentile of the cohort, production at the 62th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 54 and his production sits at 62, a gap of -8. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 529 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 36th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.4 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Low-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 530 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

334

AVG

.242

OBP

.335

SLG

.405

OPS

.740

better than 62%

HR

10

SB

6

BB%

12.6

K%

26.6

Is this player getting better?

Hitting better than last season — .608 up to .740 OPS — but last season was a small sample, so go easy on it.

Still at Low-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.608▲.740

Power

.121▲.163

Walks

6.7%▲12.6%

Strikeouts

24.4%▲26.6%

Last season, 45 times at bat — a small enough sample that these gaps might just be luck. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market25 listed · 25 eBay-verified · 19 not shown above
Listings
25

25 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$15.38
Median ask
$95.98
Cheapest 1st auto
$30.95
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$261.99

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 19 cards

  • $1495.002025 Bowman Chrome Draft Gavin Fien Gold Refractor Auto 13/50 PSA 10 Gem MintNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Gavin Fien 2025 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st True Green Auto /99 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $95.98Gavin Fien 2025 Bowman 1st Sky Blue Parallel Signed Auto RC #310/499 PSA 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Gavin Fien 1st Blue Wave Auto /150 Nationals #CPA-GFPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Chrome Gavin Fien CPA-GF BOWMAN 1st BLUE WAVE AUTO /150 🔥 PASS
  • —* 2025 Bowman Draft Gavin Fien Chrome Auto Blue Wave Refractor 1st #/150 RangersPASS
  • —Gavin Fien 2025 Bowman Draft CPA-GF Chrome Purple 1st Auto /250PASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Gavin Fien Chrome Auto Aqua Lava Refractor 1st #/199 RangersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft 1st Gavin Fien Auto (AU) PSA Nationals NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $30.95Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Gavin Fien Nationals 1st Chrome Auto CPA-GFPASS
  • —Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Gavin Fien Nationals 1st Chrome Auto CPA-GFPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft #CPA-GF Gavin Fien 1st Chrome Prospect Auto NationalsPASS
  • —Topps 2025 Bowman Draft Gavin Fien Nationals 1st Chrome Auto CPA-GFPASS
  • —Gavin Fien 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Prospect #CPA-GF Texas RangersPASS
  • —GAVIN FIEN 2025 BOWMAN DRAFT #CPA-GF CHROME AUTO 1ST PROSPECT RANGERSPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Gavin Fien #CPA-GF Auto Chrome Blue Wave /150 RangersPASS
  • —2025 Bowman 1st Auto Draft Gavin Fien RC Auto Chrome Prospect Autos #CPA-GFPASS
  • —2025 1st Bowman Draft Yellow Gavin Fien Auto 25/75 Rangers/NationalsPASS
  • —2025 Bowman Draft Gavin Fien 1st Bowman True Green Auto /99PASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now