Adrian Del Castillo
DH · Triple-A · 26.0y · #828 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
60 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
5 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
All in it's $99.99, and these have been selling around $16.50.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
Adrian Del Castillo scores 60 out of 100 (#828 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .296 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 92% at his level.
We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 87 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Speed: below average
0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.296 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 92% at his level.
Bat-first profile
DH — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Plate discipline: plus
16.1% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 88% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
Big power for his level (92th percentile); DH sells at a discount at equal production.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
87 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Corner-only profile
DH carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
5 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 5 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 5 worth looking at, best first.
Adrian Del Castillo 2021 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO ORANGE REFRACTOR 22/25 Raw RC z2
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$99.99
modeled $16.50
PASS
Adrian Del Castillo 2021 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO ORANGE REFRACTOR 22/25 Raw RC z2
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 9d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$104.97
modeled $16.50
PASS
2021 Bowman Draft Adrian Del Castillo 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Orange 25/25
/25 · raw · condition not stated · listed 137d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$368.06
modeled $16.50
PASS
Adrian Del Castillo 2021 Bowman 1st Auto Orange /25 PSA 9 Arizona Diamondbacks
/25 · PSA 9 · listed 298d
Not a core card · 4 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether the signature is factory-certified or added later
$306.98
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2021 Bowman Draft Chrome Pick Refractor 195/499 Adrian Del Castillo Auto 13c1
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 6d
Not a core card · 5 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$34.57
modeled $6.32
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Adrian Del Castillo, just what the money can do today.
- Pedro Ramírezbase$35.94Watch14% under fair value
Compared within $17.29–$36.30, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- nothing listed
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.57 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Orange /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $368.06, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $368.06 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +965%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $99.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $99.99 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -73%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 57 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 57 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level
17.2% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
64
plus · better than 92% at his level
.296 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
62
plus · better than 88% at his level
16.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 29% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
65
plus-plus · better than 93% at his level · the result, not a skill
1.020 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
52
average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 72th percentile of the cohort, production at the 93th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 82% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 72 and his production sits at 93, a gap of -21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 18th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.4 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
87
AVG
.310
OBP
.414
SLG
.606
OPS
1.020
better than 93%
HR
4
SB
0
BB%
16.1
K%
17.2
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-26 — $4.99 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market5 listed · 5 eBay-verified
- Listings
- 5
- Lowest seen
- $34.57
- Median ask
- $104.97
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $99.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $99.99
5 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run