Deal Sniper

Nieves Izaguirre

SS · Rookie · 18.0y · #748 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

61 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

60 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Nieves Izaguirre scores 61 out of 100 (#748 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 48 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Rookie — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Plate discipline: well below

    10.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Power: plus

    .195 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 87% at his level.

  • Premium position

    SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SS is a position the hobby pays up for; only 18.0 — years of runway.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    48 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NI — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 39 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 43 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-NI

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 39 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $5.74 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

60 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 58 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 52 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Nieves Izaguirre Prospect Autograph Auto Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 144d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.74

    modeled ~$11.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome NIEVES IZAGUIRRE 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-NI - Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 319d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $6.99

    modeled ~$11.00

    LOTTERY

  • NIEVES IZAGUIRRE 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-NI

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 313d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.44

    modeled ~$11.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto #CPA-NI 1st Philadelphia Phillies

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 215d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.95

    modeled ~$11.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Rookie On Card Auto CPA-NI

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 320d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $8.98

    modeled ~$11.00

    LOTTERY

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-NI Nieves Izaguirre 1st Chrome Prospect Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 322d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $9.32

    modeled ~$11.00

    LOTTERY

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $63.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +1003%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $11.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -82%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +25%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    0%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

2 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie

What he is good at

skills overall 51 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 53% at his level

    20.8% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    61

    plus · better than 87% at his level

    .195 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    40

    well below · better than 17% at his level

    10.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    50

    average · better than 49% at his level

    25 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    53

    above average · better than 63% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .793 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 52th percentile of the cohort, production at the 63th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 52 and his production sits at 63, a gap of -11. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 33th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 4.6 / 10

  • nothing stands out either way

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 68% of what it wants to know — missing readiness, production.

How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

48

AVG

.244

OBP

.354

SLG

.439

OPS

.793

better than 63%

HR

0

SB

2

BB%

10.4

K%

20.8

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market60 listed · 60 eBay-verified · 52 not shown above
Listings
60

60 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$5.74
Median ask
$12.96
Cheapest 1st auto
$5.74
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$11.20

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 52 cards

  • $9.90Nieves Izaguirre 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto #CPA-NI PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $9.99Nieves Izaguirre 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto #CPA-NI PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $9.99Nieves Izaguirre 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect AUTO #CPA-NI PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $11.202025 Bowman Chrome #BCP-232 Nieves Izaguirre 1st Refractor Auto #/499LOTTERY
  • $11.50Nieves Izaguirre Phillies 2025 BOWMAN Chrome Auto 1stLOTTERY
  • $11.502025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Auto Philadelphia PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $11.752025 Topps Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-NI Nieves IzaguirreLOTTERY
  • $11.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Nieves Izaguirre CPA-NI PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $13.942025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI Auto Refractor /499 1st ProspectLOTTERY
  • $13.942025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI Auto Refractor /499 1st ProspectLOTTERY
  • $13.992025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Auto Speckle Refractor /299LOTTERY
  • $13.99M088 NIEVES IZAGUIRRE RC AUTO 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST SPECKLE /299 #CPA-NILOTTERY
  • $14.992025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto Speckle Refractor 1st #/299LOTTERY
  • $16.322025 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Nieves Izaguirre Refractor /499 1st AutoLOTTERY
  • $16.492025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st RC AUTO CPA-NI PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $16.942025 BOWMAN CHROME NIEVES IZAGUIRRE 1ST AUTO # CPA-NILOTTERY
  • $17.002025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto 1st Prospect PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $17.002025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto 1st Prospect PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $17.842025 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT NIEVES IZAGUIRRE AUTO PSA 9LOTTERY
  • $20.992025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto 1st Bowman 🔥 PhilliesLOTTERY
  • $31.002025 Bowman Chrome NIEVES IZAGUIRRE /499 1st Bowman Auto Refractor #CPA-NI PSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $63.322025 Bowman Chrome Prospect Mini-Diamond Refractor Nieves Izaguirre Auto pe8NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI Speckle /299 1st Bowman AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Nieves Izaguirre CPA-NI 1st AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto 1st Bowman RookieNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI (AU, RC)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI (AU, RC)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI (AU, RC)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI (AU, RC)NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Auto Green /99 PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • NIEVES IZAGUIRRE 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-NI MINI DIAMOND REFRACTOR /100 1ST AUTONEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto 1st #CPA-NI PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-NI PHILLIESNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Base Auto 1st #CPA-NI Philadelphia PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-NI - PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NI 1st Bowman Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Nieves Izaguirre 1st Chrome Auto Phillies #CPA-NINEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-NI PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Nieves Izaguirre 2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto #CPA-NI PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • NIEVES IZAGUIRRE 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC On Card Autograph Auto #CPA-NINEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st - Prospect Auto Nieves Izaguirre #CPA-NINEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-NI - PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto 1st Bowman!NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-NI PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome - Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Base Auto PHILLIES #CPA-NINEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-NI, Nieves Izaguirre 1st Auto, PHILADELPHIA PHILLIESNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre Auto CPA-NI 1ST Bowman Phillies ProspectNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman On Card Base Auto!NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Nieves Izaguirre 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-NI Refractor Auto 1st RC /499NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • Nieves Izaguirre 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Philadelphia PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome CPA-NI Nieves Izaguirre 1st Bowman Auto Purple /250 PhilliesNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player