Deal Sniper

David Shields

SP · High-A · 19.0y · #624 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

62 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

35 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait for a better price

Closest of his is 2026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman… at $36.98. Needs a $19 drop.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

David Shields scores 62 out of 100 (#624 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

His core Bowman card has been selling at $20–24 off 8 confirmed sales.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: no professional sample — we hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +4.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 99% of the players there.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    SP sells at a discount at equal production; only 19.0 — years of runway.

Why now

  • 7 new copies listed this week

    Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.

What could go wrong

  • No professional sample

    We hold no season line for him, so every player-side reading on this page is missing its main input.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DSH — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 5 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

$19.75–23.50midpoint $23.50

Confirmed· 8 salesmost recent 2026-08-24 · 7 listed now

7 days
not enough sales
30 days
not enough sales
90 days
not enough sales

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-DSH

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 5 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

No good entry today

The closest to fair is 2026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DSH Royals Prospect at $36.98, 57% over the $19.75–26.01 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.

That card at or under $19.75 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.

What would make this a buy

  • Needs a $19 drop
  • Player not there yet
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman… at or under $18.80 delivered.
  • On his best-priced card: seller risk.

What is for sale right now

35 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 35 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 29 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Shields on card auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Seller risk · 2 other things in the way

    sold $19.75–26.01

    PASS · 13% under

  • 2026 Bowman David Shields 1st Bowman On Card Auto #CPA-DSH Royals

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d

    Not a core card · 3 other things in the way

    sold $19.75–26.01

    PASS · 15% under

  • 2026 1ST Bowman Chrome Prospect Gold Lava Refractor 31/50 David Shields Auto RC

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 7d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 89h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $178.00

    modeled $28.44–78.96

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman 1st David Shields Chrome Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50 KC Royals

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 89d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $28.44–78.96

    PASS

  • 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Gold Wave Auto David Shields /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 90d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    modeled $28.44–78.96

    PASS

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st True Gold Refractor Auto /50 Royals

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 2d

    Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way

    sold $208

    PASS

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on David Shields, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $18.49–$38.83, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder10 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $36.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Red Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $53.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +45%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $331.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    100 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $105.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    150 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -68%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $405.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    89 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +283%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Green Shimmer Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $129.91, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    99 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -68%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $208.59, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    75 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +61%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Lava Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $178.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -15%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $350.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +97%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atno percentiles against his level yet

What he is good at

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    not measured for him yet

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    not measured for him yet

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    not measured for him yet

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    not measured for him yet

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    not measured for him yet

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    73

    plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill

    +4.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.2 / 10

  • young for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingno season line on file

We hold no season stat line for him. That happens when he has not played enough this year, or when the roster refresh has not reached his level.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-25$44.99 plus $5.99 shipping · /499 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market35 listed · 35 eBay-verified · 29 not shown above
Listings
35

35 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$36.98
Median ask
$178.00
Cheapest 1st auto
$36.98
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$53.49

Latest eBay verification: 6 hours ago.

The other 29 cards

  • $350.002026 Bowman 1st David Shields Chrome Gold Shimmer Refractor Auto /50 KC RoyalsPASS
  • $129.912026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Auto GREEN SHIMMER REFRACTOR /99 Royals NMPASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Shields Auto Royals CPA-DSH /75PASS
  • $405.992026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman Packfractor #81/89 (RC) Rookie AutoPASS
  • 2026 Bowman #CPA-DSH Chrome Auto Green Refractor /99 1st Prospect David ShieldsPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman Packfractor #46/89 (RC) Rookie AutoPASS
  • David Shields 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st True Blue Auto /150 Royals Color MatchPASS
  • David Shields 2026 Bowman Chrome Blue X-Fractor Auto /150 1st Bowman RoyalsPASS
  • David Shields 2026 Bowman Chrome Blue X-Fractor Auto SP /150 1st Bowman OBOPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman Blue X-Fractor Auto #CPA-DSH /150PASS
  • $53.492026 BOWMAN CHROME DAVID SHIELDS 1ST PROSPECT REFRACTOR AUTO REDEMPTION /499PASS
  • 2026 Topps Bowman Chrome David Shields Auto Variation Refractor /499 1stPASS
  • 2026 Topps Bowman Chrome David Shields Auto Variation Refractor /499 1stPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499PASS
  • Bowman Chrome 2026 1st David Shields Purple Auto /250 Royals #CPA-DSHPASS
  • $105.992026 BOWMAN DAVID SHIELDS #CPA-DSH HTA CHOICE 1ST PROSPECT AUTO #96/150PASS
  • $208.592026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 15/75 David Shields Auto 1u6jPASS
  • David Shields 2026 1st Bowman Orange Shimmer Refractor Auto /25 BOOKEND #CPA-DSHPASS
  • 2026 Bowman 1st Bowman DAVID SHIELDS On Card Auto RC #CPA-DSH /499 RoyalsPASS
  • $331.57David Shields 2026 Bowman 1st Auto /100 537114PASS
  • 2026 Bowman - David Shields - 1st Bowman Auto - Mini Diamond /100 - RoyalsPASS
  • 2026 Baseball Topps Bowman Chrome David Shields Auto Variation Refractor /499PASS
  • $36.982026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DSH Royals ProspectPASS
  • 2025 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-DSH RoyalsPASS
  • David Shields 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Kansas City RoyalsPASS
  • David Shields 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Kansas City RoyalsPASS
  • David Shields 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto #CPA-DSH Kansas City RoyalsPASS
  • 2026 Bowman Chrome David Shields 1st Bowman Auto CPA-DSH Royals ProspectPASS
  • Topps 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman David Shields Auto 17/35 #CPA-DSHPASS
What this page is missing2 things we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a season stat line — he may not have played enough yet.
  • We do not have percentiles against his level — the roster refresh computes these.

Worth reading for this player