Owen Carey
CF · Double-A · 20.0y · #327 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Priced fairly
- What to do
- Wait for a better price
69 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $15.78, inside the $13.50–20.50 that card has sold in.
Closest of his is Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey 1st… at $15.78. Needs a $5 drop.
Our take
Solid prospect, priced about right.
Owen Carey scores 69 out of 100 (#327 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 78 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Young for the level
+4.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 99% of the players there.
Power: above average
.179 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 71% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to Double-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Speed: above average
23 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 60% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
7 new copies listed this week
Fresh supply on this exact card. More choice, and more downward pressure.
What could go wrong
Small sample
78 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-OC — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 2 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 2 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-OC
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 2 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Owen Carey 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-OC First (1st) AUTO Chrome Prospect at $69.99, 418% over the $13.50–20.50 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $13.50 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- Needs a $5 drop
- Player not there yet
- Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey 1st… at or under $10.80 delivered.
What is for sale right now
35 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 35 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 29 are under "The whole live market".
Owen Carey 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-OC First (1st) AUTO Orange Wave [#04/25]
/25 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 9d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$568.48
modeled $40.50–61.50
PASS
2026 1st Bowman Chrome OWEN CAREY Gold Lava Refractor Auto #/50 ATLANTA BRAVES!!
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 37d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$304.17
modeled $32.40–49.20
PASS
Owen Carey 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-OC First (1st) AUTO Gold Lava [#09/50]
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 4d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$431.44
modeled $32.40–49.20
PASS
Bowman 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st logo fractor Owen Carey Auto 10/35 Atlanta Braves
/35 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 25d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $32.40–49.20
PASS
Owen Carey 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Gold Lava Refractor /50 Braves
/50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 76d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
—
modeled $32.40–49.20
PASS
2026 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey 1st Bowman GREEN REPTILIAN /99 Auto! BRAVES!
/99 · raw · condition not stated · auction · listed 1d
Evidence still thin · 2 other things in the way
$86.74
modeled $24.30–36.90
PASS
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Owen Carey, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $7.89–$16.57, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder14 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.78, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.78 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $65.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $65.99 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +318%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $66.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $66.00 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- 0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $81.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $81.49 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +24%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $50.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $50.00 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -39%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $250.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $250.00 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +400%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $286.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $286.98 live
- Scarcity
- 89 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $100.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $100.95 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -65%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Grass Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $96.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $96.00 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Reptilian /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $86.74, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $86.74 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Shimmer Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $91.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $91.24 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +5%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Lava /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $431.44, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $431.44 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +373%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Lava Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $304.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $304.17 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -30%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Wave /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $568.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $568.48 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +87%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
1 listing sits in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 51 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
48
average · better than 41% at his level
26.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
56
above average · better than 71% at his level
.179 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
47
average · better than 40% at his level
9.0% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level
23 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level · the result, not a skill
.766 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
73
plus-plus · better than 99% at his level · context, not a skill
+4.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 67th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 67, a gap of -14. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 27th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 6.8 / 10
- already at Double-A
- young for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
78
AVG
.254
OBP
.333
SLG
.433
OPS
.766
better than 67%
HR
2
SB
3
BB%
9.0
K%
26.9
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season even though the pitching got harder — .675 to .766 after moving up to Double-A. That is the shape of a breakout.
Moved up from Low-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.675▲.766
Power
.087▲.179
Walks
7.2%▲9.0%
Strikeouts
15.6%▲26.9%
Last season, 525 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market35 listed · 35 eBay-verified · 29 not shown above
- Listings
- 35
- Lowest seen
- $15.78
- Median ask
- $87.32
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $15.78
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $50.00
35 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 29 cards
- $96.002026 Bowman Owen Carey Chrome Auto Green Grass Refractor /99 1st Braves BK3PASS
- $100.95OWEN CAREY 2026 BOWMAN CHROME PROSPECT AUTOGRAPHS GREEN GRASS 1ST AUTO /99PASS
- $286.982026 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey 1st Packfractor Auto 08/89PASS
- —Bowman Chrome Owen Carey 1st Bowman Green Auto Autograph Atlanta Braves /99PASS
- —Owen Carey 2026 1st Bowman Chrome Packfractor Auto /89 CPA-OC Atlanta BravesPASS
- $50.002026 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey 1st Bowman Auto /150 Mojo Refractor | BravesPASS
- $250.002026 Bowman Owen Carey Chrome Auto Mini-Diamond Refractor 1st #/100 BravesPASS
- $81.492026 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey Purple Refractor Auto /250 1st #CPA-OC BravesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Owen Carey Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor 1st Prospect #/299 BravesPASS
- —Topps 2026 Bowman Sapphire Owen Carey Braves 1st Bowman Blue Auto /199 BSPA-OCPASS
- —2026 Bowman Owen Carey 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- $91.242026 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey Green Shimmer Refractor Auto /99 Braves AutographPASS
- $66.00Owen Carey 2026 Bowman Speckle Auto 1st Bowman #032/299 #CPA-OC BravesPASS
- —OWEN CAREY 2026 BOWMAN #CPA-OC PURPLE REFRACTOR /250 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
- —OWEN CAREY 2026 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTO TRUE BLUE REFRACTOR /150 PSA 10 POP 1NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $15.78Topps 2025 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey 1st Bowman Auto Insert #CPA-OC BravesPASS
- $30.00Owen Carey 2026 Bowman 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-OC Atlanta BravesPASS
- $31.492026 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey Auto 1st #CPA-OC Atlanta BravesPASS
- $32.49Owen Carey 2026 Bowman Chrome Signed Auto 1st Prospect Rookie QTYPASS
- $65.99Owen Carey 2026 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 Braves PASS
- $69.99Owen Carey 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-OC First (1st) AUTO Chrome ProspectPASS
- $87.902026 Bowman Owen Carey Chrome Auto Autograph Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 BravesPASS
- $90.492026 Bowman Chrome - Owen Carey 1st Auto Refractor /499PASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey Auto 1st BowmanPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Prospect Autographs Owen Carey Auto RC Braves 1st BowmanPASS
- —2026 Bowman Owen Carey Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-OC BravesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Owen Carey Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-OC BravesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Owen Carey Chrome Auto Autograph 1st Prospect #CPA-OC BravesPASS
- —2026 Bowman Chrome Owen Carey 1st Bowman Auto Atlanta Braves CPA-OCPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run