Deal Sniper

Lenyn Sosa

2B · Triple-A · 26.0y · #451 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

66 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

30 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Watch

Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Lenyn Sosa scores 66 out of 100 (#451 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: elite — 0.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 100% at his level.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 4 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Speed: below average

    0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: elite

    0.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 100% at his level.

  • Premium position

    2B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Plate discipline: plus-plus

    25.0% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 98% at his level.

  • What the hobby pays up for

    Big power for his level (96th percentile); 26.0 is old for a prospect card.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    4 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LS — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 10 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 10 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-LS

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 10 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /499 at $12.00 costs 1.32× base, and print run alone suggests 1.15×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.

What would make this a buy

  • On his best-priced card: past the window.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

30 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 29 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 23 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Lenyn Sosa Gold Shimmer Auto Refractor /50

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 27d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    $299.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Sapphire Lenyn Sosa Auto Green /50 Autograph #BSPA-LS White Sox 1st

    /50 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 5d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Lenyn Sosa 2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire 1st #BSPA-LS RC Auto PSA 10 Card

    Sapphire · PSA 10 · listed 3d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled ~$140.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Lenyn Sosa Auto PSA 10

    base · PSA 10 · listed 53d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    modeled ~$140.00

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Lenyn Sosa 1st Auto Green 18/50 PSA 10 Rookie RC

    /50 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 1357d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Lenyn Sosa 1st Prospect Aqua Refractor Auto #64/99

    /99 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 1354d

    Past the window · 2 other things in the way

    —

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.11, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $9.11 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • SapphireTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $13.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $13.24 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +45%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sapphire RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $75.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $75.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +474%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $12.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $12.00 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -84%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Gold Shimmer Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $299.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $299.99 live
    Scarcity
    50 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +2400%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

11 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 66 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 66 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    0.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    68

    plus-plus · better than 96% at his level

    .334 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    71

    plus-plus · better than 98% at his level

    25.0% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    44

    below average · better than 29% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    69

    plus-plus · better than 97% at his level · the result, not a skill

    1.167 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 81th percentile of the cohort, production at the 97th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.

Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.

How this is read: his skills average 81 and his production sits at 97, a gap of -16. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 24th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.4 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

4

AVG

.333

OBP

.500

SLG

.667

OPS

1.167

better than 97%

HR

0

SB

0

BB%

25.0

K%

0.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market30 listed · 30 eBay-verified · 23 not shown above
Listings
30

30 eBay-verified

Lowest seen
$9.11
Median ask
$14.49
Cheapest 1st auto
$9.11
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$12.00

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 23 cards

  • —LENYN SOSA 2022 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO SGC 10/9.5 White Sox 1st Cpa-ls NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $38.00Lenyn Sosa 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto Rookie Rc /499 PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Sapphire Lenyn Sosa 1st Auto SGC 10 White Sox #BSPA-LSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $12.00Lenyn Sosa Auto 183 /499 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor FREE SHIPLOTTERY
  • $12.982022 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Lenyn Sosa AUTO /499LOTTERY
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto White Sox - PSA Mint 9 - LENYN SOSANEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $9.112022 BOWMAN CHROME LENYN SOSA RC AUTO #CPA-LS WHITE SOX 1STLOTTERY
  • $10.492022 Bowman Chrome Lenyn Sosa AUTO 1st Chicago White Sox #CPA-LSLOTTERY
  • $13.24Lenyn Sosa 1st Auto -2022 Bowman Chrome Autograph Sapphire BSPA-LS -White SoxLOTTERY
  • $13.99LENYN SOSA 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-LSLOTTERY
  • $14.992022 Lenyn Sosa Bowman #CPA-LS 1st Chrome On-Card Auto - Chicago White SoxLOTTERY
  • $75.992022 Bowman Sapphire Edition - Lenyn Sosa 1st Auto Sapphire Refractor #BSPA-LSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Lenyn Sosa Auto 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Lenyn Sosa 2022 Auto Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph White Sox Auto NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Lenyn Sosa 2022 Auto Rc Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie Autograph White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Lenyn Sosa 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-LS Chicago White SoxNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Lenyn Sosa Prospects Autograph Auto White Sox 1st BowmanNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Lenyn Sosa Speckle Refractor Auto PSA 9 White Sox /299NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $18.452022 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Lenyn Sosa #CPA-LS Chicago White Sox Autograph RCLOTTERY
  • $35.122022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Lenyn Sosa PSA 9 MINT Auto READ 0x5wNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —2022 Bowman Chrome Refractor Lenyn Sosa White Sox Rookie /499 SGC 10 w/ AUTO 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $11.992022 Lenyn Sosa Bowman Chrome Prospect Auto PSA 9 LOTTERY
  • $63.322022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 49/499 Lenyn Sosa #CPA-LS Auto 1r9tNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now