Deal Sniper

Evan Carter

CF · Frisco RoughRiders · Double-A · 23.0y · #188 of 7,922 we rate

The player
SOLID

74 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

21 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is Evan Carter 2020 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO… at $105. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Solid prospect, untested market.

Evan Carter scores 74 out of 100 (#188 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 3 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at Double-A — younger than 80% of the players there.

  • Speed: well below

    0 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: elite

    0.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 100% at his level.

  • Premium position

    CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

  • Power: elite

    1.500 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 100% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Small sample

    3 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established — candidates seen, none corroborated by enough sellers. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

21 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 21 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 15 are under "The whole live market".

  • Evan Carter 2020 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect SPARKLE REFRACTOR 54/71 RC z1

    /71 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $104.97

    modeled ~$22.27

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • PSA 10 - 2024 Bowman Chrome EVAN CARTER My 1st Bowman Orange Auto /25 - Rangers

    /25 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data stale — Last confirmed live 61h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $130.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • Evan Carter 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Bowman Autograph SGC 10 Auto 10 Rangers

    base · SGC 10 · takes offers · listed 851d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $280.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2020 Bowman Chrome #CDA-EC Evan Carter 1st Auto /499

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 16d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $299.18

    modeled ~$11.69

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2020 Bowman Chrome Auto Evan Carter 1st True Purple /250 Gem Mint PSA 10

    /250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 32d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $304.99

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

  • 2020 Bowman Draft Evan Carter 1st Chrome Auto Purple Refractor /250 PSA 10

    /250 · PSA 10 · takes offers · listed 105d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $306.00

    no sold price

    NEEDS EVIDENCE

    eBayBreakdown

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Evan Carter, just what the money can do today.

Compared within $17.49–$36.73, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder4 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $55.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $55.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    —
  • RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $278.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $278.99 live
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +398%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $299.18, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $299.18 live
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +7%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Sparkle Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $104.97, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    —
    Live
    $104.97 live
    Scarcity
    71 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -65%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

12 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 70 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A

What he is good at

skills overall 70 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    0.0% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    1.500 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level

    33.3% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    41

    well below · better than 18% at his level

    0 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    80

    elite · better than 100% at his level · the result, not a skill

    3.500 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    58

    plus · better than 80% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 80th percentile of the cohort, production at the 100th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 81% of the players he is measured against.

The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.

How this is read: his skills average 80 and his production sits at 100, a gap of -20. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 19th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.1 / 10

  • already at Double-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.

How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

3

AVG

1.000

OBP

1.000

SLG

2.500

OPS

3.500

better than 100%

HR

1

SB

0

BB%

33.3

K%

0.0

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market21 listed · 21 eBay-verified · 15 not shown above
Listings
21

21 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$34.98
Median ask
$184.39
Cheapest 1st auto
$59.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$104.97

Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.

The other 15 cards

  • $309.99Evan Carter 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto RC Refractor /499 #CDAEC PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —EVAN CARTER 2020 BOWMAN CHROME 1st RC ROOKIE REFRACTOR AUTO /499 - CLEAN - 🔥🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —EVAN CARTER 2020 BOWMAN CHROME DRAFT 1ST AUTO RC PSA 9 RANGERS TOP PROSPECT 🔥NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $34.982024 Bowman Chrome EVAN CARTER AUTO RC - ASCENSIONS - PSA 9 MINT - #"d /150NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $184.392024 Bowman Chrome Rookie Green Refractor 16/99 Evan Carter PSA 10 Auto RC 10noNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $158.00Evan Carter 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Auto CDA-EC PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Evan Carter 1st Bowman Auto 2020 Bowman Draft Auto PSA10NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $278.992020 Evan Carter Signed 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Beckett 10 Auto MLB DebutNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $356.992020 Bowman Chrome Draft Evan Carter 1st Prospect Auto 🔥 #CDA-ECNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $59.992020 BOWMAN CHROME EVAN CARTER 1ST AUTO ROOKIE RC RANGERSNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $180.99Evan Carter Bowman 1st Auto Blue Wave 2020 Bowman Draft Refractor /150 BGS 9.5NEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $98.392020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Evan Carter #CDA-EC Auto 0vvNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $223.172020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Evan Carter #CDA-EC Auto 6fsNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • $55.99Evan Carter 2020 Bowman Draft #BD-126 1st Prospect Rangers Beckett 10 AutoNEEDS EVIDENCE
  • —Topps 2020 Bowman Draft Evan Carter Auto RC Chrome Draft Picks PSA 9 CDA-ECPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player

Newest listings on eBayCheapest right now