Deal Sniper

Rayne Doncon

3B · Cedar Rapids Kernels · High-A · 22.0y · #2787 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

46 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Untested

55 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.

What to do
Wait

Closest of his is 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Rayne Doncon HTA…. Waiting on sales.

Our take

Fringe prospect, untested market.

Rayne Doncon scores 46 out of 100 (#2787 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: young for the level — +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.

Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

The signal

  • Young for the level

    +1.0y vs his level at High-A — younger than 74% of the players there.

  • Speed: below average

    6 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • OPS slipping

    .516 last season to .491 this one.

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 33/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Contact: plus

    18.7% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 82% at his level.

  • Premium position

    3B — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Nothing has sold

    No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.

  • Modeled value only

    The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.

  • Benchmark not checklist-verified

    His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.

What the hobby pays for him

Benchmark card: 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RD — raw, base, unnumbered.

Described by 18 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.

No price on this card yet

sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 19 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.

This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-RD

Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto

The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 18 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.

A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Waiting on sales
  • Player not there yet

What is for sale right now

55 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 53 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 47 are under "The whole live market".

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-RD Los Angeles Dodgers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 69d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $2.99

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • Rayne Doncon 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Auto RC 1st Bowman Rookie CPA-RD

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 70d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $2.99

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon #CPA-RD 1st Chrome Prospect Auto

    base · raw · condition not stated · listed 1364d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.15

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • Rayne Doncon 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 487/499 RC z2

    /499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 1d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    $5.42

    modeled ~$11.99

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Rayne Doncon Autograph Signed Card Twins Auto Dodgers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 40d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.45

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Rayne Doncon #CPA-RD Dodgers

    base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 884d

    Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way

    Data staleLast confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.

    $5.65

    modeled ~$8.50

    PASS

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder5 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing Raw autos.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • BaseTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $2.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
  • Mojo RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $9.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    unnumbered
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +234%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $5.42, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    499 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -46%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    299 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    +326%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales
  • Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE

    Listed at $19.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.

    Sold
    Scarcity
    250 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
    -16%
    Premium from asking prices, not sales

24 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.

What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A

What he is good at

skills overall 50 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    59

    plus · better than 82% at his level

    18.7% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    49

    average · better than 46% at his level

    .126 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    47

    average · better than 38% at his level

    10.1% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    46

    below average · better than 34% at his level

    6 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    38

    well below · better than 11% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .491 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    56

    above average · better than 74% at his level · context, not a skill

    +1.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 50th percentile of the cohort, production at the 11th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 98% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 50 and his production sits at 11, a gap of +39. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 98th percentile.

Will he get there?

Long shot 3.8 / 10

  • old for High-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

198

AVG

.137

OBP

.228

SLG

.263

OPS

.491

better than 11%

HR

5

SB

2

BB%

10.1

K%

18.7

Is this player getting better?

Down from .516 to .491 OPS this season.

Still at High-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.516.491

Power

.125.126

Walks

11.8%10.1%

Strikeouts

29.1%18.7%

Last season, 110 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
The whole live market55 listed · 55 eBay-verified · 47 not shown above
Listings
55

55 eBay-verified

Lowest live
$2.99
Median ask
$18.50
Cheapest 1st auto
$2.99
Cheapest numbered 1st auto
$5.42

Latest eBay verification: 7 hours ago.

The other 47 cards

  • $5.78Rayne Doncon 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect PASS
  • $5.992022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon 1st Auto Dodgers #CPA-RDPASS
  • $6.41Rayne Doncon 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 487/499 RC z2PASS
  • $6.99Rayne Doncon 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph Auto A Card #CPA-RDPASS
  • $8.78Rayne Doncon 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR /499PASS
  • $9.982022 Bowman Chrome #BCP-202 Rayne Doncon Mojo Mega Refractor Auto 1st GTPPASS
  • $13.99Rayne Doncon - 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Bowman PSA 10PASS
  • $13.99RAYNE DONCON 2022 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-RDPASS
  • $15.88RAYNE DONCON 2022 Bowman Chrome #CPA-RD 1st AutoPASS
  • $15.99Rayne Doncon - 2022 Bowman Chrome Purple Auto /250 1st Bowman PSA 10PASS
  • $15.99Rayne Doncon - 2022 Bowman Chrome Green Sapphire Auto /99 1st Bowman SGC 10PASS
  • $16.732022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Rayne Doncon #CPA-RD PSA 9 MINT Auto 10yfPASS
  • $17.49Rayne Doncon 2022 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Autograph Auto PSA 9 DodgersPASS
  • $18.50Rayne Doncon 1st Bowman Chrome Auto 2022 LA DodgersPASS
  • $19.322022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Rayne Doncon #CPA-RD Auto 16rlPASS
  • $19.622022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Rayne Doncon #CPA-RD Auto 1j91PASS
  • $19.79RAYNE DONCON 2022 Bowman Chrome CPA-RD Auto 10 SGC 9 LA DODGERSPASS
  • $19.99Rayne Doncon 2022 1st Bowman Chrome AUTO Prospect REFRACTOR 127/499 Twins RC z22PASS
  • $20.772022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Purple Refractor /250 Rayne Doncon #CPA-RD Auto 17niPASS
  • $21.492022 Bowman Chrome RAYNE DONCON Rookie Auto PSA 9 CPA-RDPASS
  • $23.072022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor 130/299 Rayne Doncon Auto 17niPASS
  • $23.632022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 289/499 Rayne Doncon SGC 9 MINT Auto 16rlPASS
  • $24.79RAYNE DONCON 2020 Bowman Chrome CPA-RD Auto 10 SGC 9.5 LA DODGERSPASS
  • $27.79RAYNE DONCON 2022 Bowman Chrome Pros. Auto Speckle Ref 257/299 CPA-RD BGS 9.5PASS
  • $29.98RAYNE DONCON - Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Gold Shimmer /50 - Twins, Dodgers SGC 9.5PASS
  • $30.002022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon Auto PSA 10 CPA-RD DodgersPASS
  • $34.99Rayne Doncon 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Speckle /299 PSA 9 MintPASS
  • $35.722022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 3/499 Rayne Doncon #CPA-RD Auto 17niPASS
  • $38.592022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Speckle Refractor Rayne Doncon PSA 9 MINT Auto 2l4PASS
  • $38.702022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon Auto SGC 10/10PASS
  • $42.032022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor /499 Rayne Doncon PSA 10 GEM MT Auto 10yfPASS
  • $42.042022 Bowman Chrome Prospect Rayne Doncon #CPA-RD SGC 9 MINT Auto 17niPASS
  • $306.992022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon 1st Bowman Speckle Refractor Auto /299 SGC 10PASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Rayne Doncon HTA Choice Refractor Auto /150 PSA 9PASS
  • Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Rookie Auto Rayne Doncon Dodgers CPA-RDPASS
  • Topps 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Rayne Doncon RC Dodgers CPA-RDPASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Auto RAYNE DONCON 1st Bowman RC Minnesota TWINS #CPA-RDPASS
  • RAYNE DONCON 2022 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Rookie RC Dodgers SPPASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Prospects Rayne Doncon 1st Bowman Auto Los Angeles DodgersPASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-RD DodgersPASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome RAYNE DONCON 1st Bowman Prospect Auto L.A DodgersPASS
  • Rayne Doncon PSA 9 2022 Bowman Chrome AUTO 1st Prospect AUTOGRAPH Twins Mint!PASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Autograph TwinsPASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon Green Atomic Refractor Auto PSA 9 Dodgers /99PASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon Rookie Auto Refractor 071 /499 PSA 9 MintPASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Baseball 1st Refractor Auto Rayne Doncon 260/499 PSA 9PASS
  • 2022 Bowman Chrome Rayne Doncon 1st Prospect Auto Autograph CPA-RD PSA 9 DodgersPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.

Worth reading for this player