John Cruz
RF · Rookie · 20.0y · #1024 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- SOLID
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
57 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
60 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green… at $18.99. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Solid prospect, untested market.
John Cruz scores 57 out of 100 (#1024 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: power: plus — .179 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — rF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
The signal
Speed: below average
11 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 39/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Power: plus
.179 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases Better than 83% at his level.
Bat-first profile
RF — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.
Contact: above average
18.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 66% at his level.
OPS improving
.642 last season to .852 this one.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Corner-only profile
RF carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JCZ — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 29 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 30 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JCZ
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 29 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, Base at $4.63 — the numbered ones cost more than they are worth, on print run alone. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
60 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 60 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 54 are under "The whole live market".
John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-JCZ Yankees
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 48d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.63
modeled ~$11.50
LOTTERY
JOHN CRUZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH YANKEES #CPA-JCZ AUTO
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 26d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.99
modeled ~$11.50
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects Autograph #CPA-JCZ John Cruz Auto 1st Bowman
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 183d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.00
modeled ~$11.50
LOTTERY
2024 BOWMAN CHROME JOHN CRUZ RC AUTO YANKEES 1ST
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 16d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.11
modeled ~$11.50
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome 1st - John Cruz #CPA-JCZ New York Yankees - AUTO
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 532d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.30
modeled ~$11.50
LOTTERY
2024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Prospects Auto #CPA-JCZ New York Yankees
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 19d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$6.90
modeled ~$11.50
LOTTERY
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder12 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.63, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.63 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- SapphireTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +137%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +162%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.20, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.20 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -65%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.32, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.32 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Lunar Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $12.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $12.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $25.65, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $25.65 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +98%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mini Diamond /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.00, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.00 live
- Scarcity
- 100 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Lava Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $18.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $18.98 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -10%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $18.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $18.99 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +0%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Yellow Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $69.64, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $69.64 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +267%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Orange Wave Refractor /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $280.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $280.95 live
- Scarcity
- 25 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +303%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
13 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 51 on the 20–80 scale, against 1087 hitters at Rookie
What he is good at
skills overall 51 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 1087 hitters at Rookie — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
54
above average · better than 66% at his level
18.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
60
plus · better than 83% at his level
.179 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
47
average · better than 38% at his level
13.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
44
below average · better than 26% at his level
11 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level · the result, not a skill
.852 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
46
below average · better than 34% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 53th percentile of the cohort, production at the 77th — his results run further ahead of his tools than 86% of the players he is measured against.
The stat line is doing the selling and the skills underneath it are not carrying it. Pay for the line and you are paying for the part that does not repeat.
How this is read: his skills average 53 and his production sits at 77, a gap of -24. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 1,087 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 14th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.9 / 10
- hitting well — 0.852 OPS in 166 PA (not ranked against his level)
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 82% of what it wants to know — missing readiness.
How he is playingThe Rookie line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 1087 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
166
AVG
.281
OBP
.392
SLG
.460
OPS
.852
better than 77%
HR
5
SB
3
BB%
13.9
K%
18.1
Is this player getting better?
Hitting better than last season — .642 up to .852 OPS.
Still at Rookie, the same level as last season.
OPS
.642▲.852
Power
.073▲.179
Walks
17.9%▼13.9%
Strikeouts
15.7%▲18.1%
Last season, 134 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market60 listed · 60 eBay-verified · 54 not shown above
- Listings
- 60
- Lowest seen
- $4.63
- Median ask
- $14.35
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.63
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $10.20
60 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 54 cards
- $7.64JOHN CRUZ 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Rookie RC Autograph Auto #CPA-JCZLOTTERY
- $7.992024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Prospect On Card Auto New York YankeesLOTTERY
- $7.992024 Bowman John Cruz Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-JCZ New York Yankees Baseball CardLOTTERY
- $9.272024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Auto New York Yankees #CPA-JCZLOTTERY
- $10.202024 Bowman #CPA-JCZ John Cruz 1st Chrome Purple Auto #/250LOTTERY
- $10.98John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Yankees #CPA-JCZLOTTERY
- $10.992024 Bowman Sapphire John Cruz Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #BSPA-JCZ YankeesLOTTERY
- $11.25JOHN CRUZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL YANKEES AUTOLOTTERY
- $12.982024 Bowman John Cruz Chrome Auto Blue Lunar Refractor 1st #/150 YankeesLOTTERY
- $13.24JOHN CRUZ 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st #CPA-JCZ Rookie RC Autograph AutoLOTTERY
- $13.49JOHN CRUZ 2024 Bowman 1st Bowman Chrome Auto New York YankeesLOTTERY
- $13.982024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JCZ New York YankeesLOTTERY
- $13.99JOHN CRUZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST RC AUTO #CPA-JCZLOTTERY
- $14.70JOHN CRUZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL YANKEES AUTO #CPA-JCZLOTTERY
- $14.992024 Bowman John Cruz Chrome Auto 1st #CPA-JCZ YankeesLOTTERY
- $15.00JOHN CRUZ 2024 Bowman Chrome Draft AUTO AUTOGRAPH 1ST RC ROOKIE ! YANKEES !LOTTERY
- $15.092024 Bowman #CPA-JCZ John Cruz Chrome 1st AutoLOTTERY
- $15.32JOHN CRUZ /150 1st Bowman Auto🔥2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JCZ🔥 Marlins/ YankeesLOTTERY
- $15.982024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph John Cruz Auto Yankees #CPA-JCZLOTTERY
- $18.982024 Bowman Chrome JOHN CRUZ NY Yankees Green Lava Refractor 1st Auto SP /99LOTTERY
- $18.99John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Refractor /99 Yankees LOTTERY
- $20.002024 Bowman Chrome Prospect John Cruz Auto SGC 9 New York YankeesLOTTERY
- $20.952024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Bowman Base Chrome Auto - YankeesLOTTERY
- $21.002024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JCZ John Cruz 1st Auto Mini Diamond Auto /100LOTTERY
- $25.652024 Bowman Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor 112/150 John Cruz Auto 0hw6NEEDS EVIDENCE
- $28.822024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 98/499 John Cruz #CPA-JCZ Auto 1e0wNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $29.992024 Bowman Chrome Prospect John Cruz Auto PSA 9 #CPA-JCZ YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $30.052024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Bowman Purple Auto /250 SGC 10/9.5 YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $35.002024 Bowman 1st Chrome JOHN CRUZ Auto RC NY Yankees PSA 10 💎 GEM MINTNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $43.40PSA 9 2024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Bowman Auto Speckle /299 YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $69.642024 Bowman Chrome Prospect Yellow Refractor 16/75 John Cruz #CPA-JCZ Auto 04cwNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $280.952024 BOWMAN CHROME 1st JOHN CRUZ RC AUTO ORANGE WAVE REFRACTOR #/25 GEM MT 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome /150 Auto Blue Lunar Refractor #CPA-JCZ YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Topps 2024 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto John Cruz CPA-JCZ New York YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-JCZ Yankees MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome JOHN CRUZ /99 Green Lava Refractor 1st Auto SP YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Bowman Prospect Auto #CPA-JCZ YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Green Shimmer 66/99 Yankees NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman John Cruz #CPA-JCZ Chrome Auto Yellow 01/75 1st Bowman SGC 9.5/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome Prospects 1st Auto #CPA-JCZ Yankees MarlinsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman AUTO New York Yankees #CPA-JCZNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Chrome #CPA-JCZ NY YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome🔥JOHN CRUZ 1st Auto🔥Bowman Yankees Prospect📈NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 John Cruz 1st Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-JCZ NY YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JOHN CRUZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME HTA #CPA-JCZ 1ST MOJO AUTO /150 YANKEESNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —John Cruz 2024 Bowman Chrome Base Auto 1st New York Yankees #CPA-JCZNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome John Cruz 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JCZ New York YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman John Cruz Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JCZ Yankees PSA 9NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —John Cruz Auto PSA 9 2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman New York YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JCZ John Cruz 1st Speckle Auto /299 SGC 10/10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospects John Cruz Auto PSA 10NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —JOHN CRUZ 2024 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO PSA 9 Yankees Marlins 1st CpajczNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman John Cruz True Gold 1st Auto Refractor /50 PSA 10 New York YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2024 Bowman John Cruz Gold Lava 1st Auto Refractor /50 PSA 10 New York YankeesNEEDS EVIDENCE
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run