Kai Roberts
CF · Double-A · 25.0y · #4724 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- LONG SHOT
- The market
- Expensive
- What to do
- Watch
31 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
His best base card asks $4.48, over the $2.99 that card has sold in.
Something about this card rules it out no matter the price.
Our take
Long-shot prospect, expensive market.
Kai Roberts scores 31 out of 100 (#4724 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus-plus — 77 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $2–4 off 1 confirmed sale.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: swing-and-miss — contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (35.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
The signal
Contact: well below
35.0% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
OPS slipping
.606 last season to .565 this one.
Speed: plus-plus
77 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 97% at his level.
Moved up and held it
High-A to Double-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Little power for his level (19th percentile); elite speed (97th percentile).
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Swing-and-miss
Contact grades 38 on the 20–80 scale (35.0% K). strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
Asks above the sold band
Every live card of his we can price is asking more than these have actually sold for, so today's entry is at a premium.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-KR — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 52 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.24–3.74midpoint $2.99
Evidence limited· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-24 · 56 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-KR
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 52 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
No good entry today
The closest to fair is Kai Roberts (RC) AUTO 2025 1st Bowman Chrome San Diego Padres Free Shipping NICE at $20, 569% over the $2.99 that copies of it have confirmed sold in. Nothing of his is currently below its own sold band.
That card at or under $2.99 delivered would be at the bottom of what it has actually sold for.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
88 cards of his are listed, 1 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 87 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 81 are under "The whole live market".
Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-KR Padres
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 3d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$4.48
sold $2.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR Padres
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.45
sold $2.99
PASS
Kai Roberts 2025 1st Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-KR
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 150d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.78
sold $2.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st #CPA-KR San Diego Padres Rookie
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 322d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 57h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$6.84
sold $2.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-KR KAI ROBERTS 1st Prospect RC Padres
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$6.94
sold $2.99
PASS
2025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-KR KAI ROBERTS 1st Prospect RC Padres
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 11d
Past the window · 3 other things in the way
$6.94
sold $2.99
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder11 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $4.48, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $4.48 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.35, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.35 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +86%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.98 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +91%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $10.95, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $10.95 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -32%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $21.50, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $21.50 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +96%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue RayWave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.99 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - HTA Choice /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $20.17, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $20.17 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +26%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Mojo Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $20.90, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $20.90 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +4%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - True Yellow /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $305.85, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $305.85 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +1363%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Refractor /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $33.94, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $33.94 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -89%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Gold Shimmer /50THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $101.25, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $101.25 live
- Scarcity
- 50 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +198%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 49 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 49 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
38
well below · better than 11% at his level
35.0% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
.076 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
49
average · better than 46% at his level
9.6% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
69
plus-plus · better than 97% at his level
77 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
41
well below · better than 18% at his level · the result, not a skill
.565 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 42% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 43th percentile of the cohort, production at the 18th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 88% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 43 and his production sits at 18, a gap of +25. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 88th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.2 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
280
AVG
.194
OBP
.295
SLG
.270
OPS
.565
better than 18%
HR
4
SB
36
BB%
9.6
K%
35.0
Is this player getting better?
Down from .606 to .565 OPS, but he moved up to Double-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from High-A to Double-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.606▼.565
Power
.060▲.076
Walks
13.7%▼9.6%
Strikeouts
28.4%▲35.0%
Last season, 342 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market88 listed · 88 eBay-verified · 81 not shown above
- Listings
- 88
- Lowest live
- $4.48
- Median ask
- $11.95
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $4.48
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $8.35
88 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
The other 81 cards
- $6.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto #CPA-KR KAI ROBERTS 1st Prospect RC PadresPASS
- $8.35Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-KRPASS
- $8.74Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Refractor Auto /499 San Diego Padres PASS
- $8.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Kai Roberts CPA KR PadresPASS
- $8.992025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- $9.042025 Bowman Chrome- Kai Roberts- 1st Chrome Auto #CPA-KR Padres 💎💎PASS
- $9.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Kai Roberts PadresPASS
- $10.292025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- $10.94🔥KAI ROBERTS🔥 2025 Bowman Chrome *1ST BOWMAN CHROME AUTO* #CPA-KR Padres!PASS
- $10.952025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts 1st #CPA-KR Purple Refractor Auto /250 PadresPASS
- $10.952025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Bowman #CPA-KR Padres SPPASS
- $11.95Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Rookie On-Card Signed Auto RCPASS
- $11.982025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KR San Diego PadresPASS
- $12.98Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto 2025 Bowman Chrome Padres CPA-KR RCPASS
- $13.942025 Bowman Chrome Auto Refractor #CPA-KR KAI ROBERTS /499 1st Prospect PadresPASS
- $13.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 Kai Roberts CPA KR PadresPASS
- $15.98Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto Speckle Refractor 1st /299PASS
- $15.99Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-KR 1st Blue Raywave Refractor Auto /150PASS
- $16.392025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto Purple Refractor 1st Prospect #/250 PadresPASS
- $18.732025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR Padres I-6559PASS
- $18.972025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto - Kai Roberts RC - San Diego PadresPASS
- $20.00Kai Roberts (RC) AUTO 2025 1st Bowman Chrome San Diego Padres Free Shipping NICEPASS
- $20.17KAI ROBERTS 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST HTA CHOICE PADRES AUTO /150PASS
- $20.902025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts 1st HTA Mojo Refractor Auto /150 Padres #CPA-KRPASS
- $21.502025 Bowman Chrome 1st Kai Roberts Blue Raywave Auto /150 PadresPASS
- $25.99Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome Auto 1st Blue RayWave 001/150 #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- $33.942025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts #CPA-KR Auto Gold Refractor /50 1st ProspectPASS
- $101.25Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Gold Shimmer Auto /50 PadresPASS
- $305.85KAI ROBERTS 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st True Yellow SP Auto /75 #CPA-KR PADRES!!!PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Kai Roberts #CPA-KRPASS
- —KAI ROBERTS 2025 BOWMAN CHROME #CPA-KR TRUE GREEN /99 1ST PROSPECT AUTOPASS
- —Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KR San Diego PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Kai Roberts Green Reptilian Auto /99PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Prospects Kai Roberts CPA-KR Green Reptilian /99 Auto 1stPASS
- —Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KR San Diego PadresPASS
- —⚾️ 2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KR - San Diego Padres PASS
- —Kai Roberts - 2025 Topps Bowman Chrome Auto Black and White 1st Bowman Red InkPASS
- —Kai Roberts - 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st - Auto Green Lava Refractor #77/99 - PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Kai Roberts Blue Reptilian Auto /150 PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts CPA-KR 1st Bowman Refractor Auto 001/499 FIRST PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —Topps Bowman Chrome 2025 Kai Roberts Bowman 1st Auto #CPA-KR Padres MLBPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts #CPA-KR 1st Bowman Auto PadresPASS
- —Bowman 2024 Chrome 1st Prospect Auto CPA-KR Kai Roberts PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Prospect 1st Auto Kai Roberts #CPA-KR (AU, RC)PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Kai Roberts #CPA-KR Blue Bowmans 1st Auto /150PASS
- —2025 Bowman Kai Robert’s /150 1st Bowman Auto ReptilianPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto #CPA-KR 1st Prospect San Diego PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KRPASS
- —Kai Roberts 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Topps Bowman Chrome Prospects #CPA-KR Kai Roberts 1st Auto Padres KM022PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KRPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR San Diego PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome - Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-KRPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Bowman SD Padres MLBPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR Padres 🔥PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts #CPA-KR 1st Bowman Auto PASS
- —Kai Roberts | 2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman On-Card Auto - San Diego PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-KR Kai Roberts Auto Bowman 1stPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-KR Kai Roberts -Bowman 1st AutoPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto Speckle Refractor 1st /299 PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto Refractor #CPA-KRPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome #CPA-KR Kai Roberts 1st Prospect Auto PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts #CPA-KR 1st Bowman Auto San Diego Padres PASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Kai Roberts Prospect On Card Auto San Diego PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 1st Kai Roberts Blue Reptilian Auto /150 PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto Speckle Refractor 1st #/299 PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome 303/499 Kai Roberts 1st Bowman Auto Refractor Padres RCPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto Refractor 1st Prospect #/499 PadresPASS
- —2025 Bowman Chrome Kai Roberts Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-KR PadresPASS
- —KAI ROBERTS 2025 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST BASE AUTOGRAPH PADRES AUTOPASS
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- What a modeled fair value means — at least one value on this page was modeled rather than taken from a sale
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run