Jordan Nwogu
CF · Triple-A · 27.0y · #4353 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Watch
35 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
30 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Nobody has logged a completed sale for this card, so we can't say what it's worth.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Jordan Nwogu scores 35 out of 100 (#4353 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: plate discipline: plus — 15.1% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 84% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: small sample — 53 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
The signal
Power: well below
.068 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
.701 last season to .510 this one.
Plate discipline: plus
15.1% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 84% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Double-A to Triple-A.
Premium position
CF — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
What the hobby pays up for
Little power for his level (15th percentile); CF is a position the hobby pays up for.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Small sample
53 PA this season — too few to read a rate stat off with any confidence.
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JN — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 8 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
No price on this card yet
sales exist for this player, none on the benchmark card 8 copies are listed right now — asking prices are supply, never evidence of what it sells for.
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CDA-JN
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 8 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
Nothing of his has confirmed sold, so there is no value to measure against. Among the asks alone, /250 at $9.56 costs 1.60× base, and print run alone suggests 1.30×, with no measured sales to check it against — best balance available. That is a comparison of sellers, not evidence of what these are worth, and it rests on the print-run assumption rather than measured premiums.
What would make this a buy
- On his best-priced card: past the window.
- A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.
What is for sale right now
30 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 30 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 24 are under "The whole live market".
2020 Bowman Draft Chrome JORDAN NWOGU 1st RC Refractor AUTO 39/499 Cubs
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 504d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.24
modeled ~$12.99
LOTTERY
2020 Bowman Chrome Draft JORDAN NWOGU Cubs Prospect Refractor 1st Auto SP /499
/499 · raw · condition not stated · listed 11d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$11.78
modeled ~$12.99
LOTTERY
JORDAN NWOGU 2020 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST PURPLE REFRACTOR RC AUTO 025/250 #CDA-JN
/250 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 425d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$13.99
modeled ~$10.98
LOTTERY
Jordan Nwogu 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Refractor /499 Chicago Cubs CDA-JN RC
/499 · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 449d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$16.22
modeled ~$12.50
LOTTERY
Jordan Nwogu 2020 Bowman Draft Chrome 1st Auto & Sapphire PSA 9 Cubs
Sapphire · PSA 9 · listed 189d
Past the window · 2 other things in the way
$28.99
modeled ~$44.00
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2020 Bowman Chrome Draft Picks Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Refractor Auto /499 SGC 9.5
/499 · SGC 9.5 · takes offers · listed 166d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$39.99
no sold price
NEEDS EVIDENCE
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder6 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $5.99, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $5.99 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $11.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $11.24 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +88%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.56, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.56 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -15%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Wave Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $34.57, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $34.57 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +262%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $354.13, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $354.13 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +924%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.76, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.76 live
- Scarcity
- 75 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -92%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
3 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 50 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A
What he is good at
skills overall 50 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
50
average · better than 51% at his level
22.6% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
40
well below · better than 15% at his level
.068 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
60
plus · better than 84% at his level
15.1% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
50
average · better than 50% at his level
11 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
38
well below · better than 11% at his level · the result, not a skill
.510 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
48
average · better than 44% at his level · context, not a skill
-1.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 50th percentile of the cohort, production at the 11th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 98% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 50 and his production sits at 11, a gap of +39. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 98th percentile.
Will he get there?
Real chance 5.8 / 10
- already at Triple-A
- old for Triple-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 86% of what it wants to know — missing production.
How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
53
AVG
.159
OBP
.283
SLG
.227
OPS
.510
better than 11%
HR
1
SB
1
BB%
15.1
K%
22.6
Is this player getting better?
Down from .701 to .510 OPS, but he moved up to Triple-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Double-A to Triple-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.701▼.510
Power
.068→.068
Walks
7.1%▲15.1%
Strikeouts
25.0%▼22.6%
Last season, 368 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market30 listed · 30 eBay-verified · 24 not shown above
- Listings
- 30
- Lowest seen
- $5.99
- Median ask
- $11.78
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $5.99
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $11.24
30 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 24 cards
- $354.132020 Bowman Chrome Jordan Nwogu 1st Auto /99 #CDA-JN CubsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jordan Nwogu 2020 Bowman Chrome Draft 1st Prospect Auto PSA 9 CubsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $5.99Jordan Nwogu 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Cubs LOTTERY
- $6.502020 Bowman Chrome #CDA-JN Jordan Nwogu 1st Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $6.78🔥2020 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordan Nwogu 1st Prospect Auto 🔥LOTTERY
- $10.272020 Bowman Chrome Draft Jordan Nwogu 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JN CubsLOTTERY
- $15.95JORDAN NWOGU BOWMAN 1ST CHROME ROOKIE AUTO 2020 BOWMAN BASEBALLLOTTERY
- $15.982020 Bowman Chrome #CDA-JN Jordan Nwogu 1st Prospect AutoLOTTERY
- $28.762020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Black Refractor /75 Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto 0e1NEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome Jordan Nwogu Auto Bowman 1st Autographed On CardNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Jordan Nwogu autoNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jordan Nwogu 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Prospect CubsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- —Jordan Nwogu 2020 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Autograph Auto CubsNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $34.572020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Blue Wave Refractor 44/150 Jordan Nwogu Auto y8hNEEDS EVIDENCE
- $9.562020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Purple Refractor 15/250 Jordan Nwogu Auto 0s4fLOTTERY
- $10.982020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Purple Refractor 135/250 Jordan Nwogu Auto 3hdLOTTERY
- $15.022020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor 97/499 Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto 0t9eLOTTERY
- $15.592020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor /499 Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto 5p9LOTTERY
- $18.472020 Bowman Draft Chrome Picks Refractor 218/499 Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto w6gLOTTERY
- $7.532020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto z7dLOTTERY
- $7.542020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto 0s4fLOTTERY
- $8.122020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto 0p16LOTTERY
- $9.272020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto 7i2LOTTERY
- $11.212020 Bowman Draft Chrome Draft Picks Jordan Nwogu #CDA-JN Auto 11b4LOTTERY
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run