Junior Tilien
SS · West Michigan Whitecaps · High-A · 23.0y · #4328 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
36 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
50 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Junior Tilien -… at $3.90. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Junior Tilien scores 36 out of 100 (#4328 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: above average — 21.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 67% at his level.
His core Bowman card has been selling at $3–4 off 1 confirmed sale.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: thin comp evidence — 1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
The signal
Power: well below
.069 ISO — isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
OPS slipping
.699 last season to .535 this one.
Power slipping
.087 last season to .069 this one.
Contact: above average
21.9% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 67% at his level.
Moved up and held it
Low-A to High-A.
Premium position
SS — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Thin comp evidence
1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
Benchmark not checklist-verified
His core card was identified from how raw base 1st bowman chrome auto sellers describe it, not from a checklist. The identity is likely, not established.
What the hobby pays for him
Benchmark card: 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JT — raw, base, unnumbered.
Described by 25 independent sellers — observed, not checklist-verified.
$2.61–4.35midpoint $3.48
Model estimate· 1 salemost recent 2026-08-25 · 28 listed now
- 7 days
- not enough sales
- 30 days
- not enough sales
- 90 days
- not enough sales
This is his benchmark, not the value of any particular card in front of you — a /250 is a different market.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto CPA-JT
Raw base 1st Bowman Chrome Auto
The canonical prospect vehicle — every player who has one is compared on it. Identified from 25 independent sellers describing it — likely, not established.
A card is never the one to own because it is numbered. Scarcity is a modifier on a vehicle, not a vehicle — a /25 of a card nobody collects is a rarer version of nothing.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
50 cards of his are listed · 0 of the 50 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 6 worth looking at, best first; the other 44 are under "The whole live market".
2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JT Mets
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 574d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.49
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Junior Tilien - New York Mets
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 28d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$3.90
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Bowman On Card Auto Autograph
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 289d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$3.99
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
JUNIOR TILIEN 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Mets
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 155d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.19
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JT
base · raw · condition not stated · takes offers · listed 567d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
$4.50
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Bowman On Card Auto Autograph
base · raw · condition not stated · listed 57d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
$4.90
modeled ~$5.50
PASS
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder8 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- BaseTHIN EVIDENCE
1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $3.49 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $7.49, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $7.49 live
- Scarcity
- 499 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +115%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Speckle Refractor /499THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $15.61, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $15.61 live
- Scarcity
- 299 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +108%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Purple Refractor /250THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $18.45, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $18.45 live
- Scarcity
- 250 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +18%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $9.24, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $9.24 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -50%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Blue Refractor /150THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.98, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.98 live
- Scarcity
- 150 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -3%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Refractor /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $19.61, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $19.61 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +118%
Premium from asking prices, not sales - Green Shimmer /99THIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $8.69, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $8.69 live
- Scarcity
- 99 made
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- -56%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
7 listings sit in a different grade class or auto status and is kept off this ladder — a slabbed sale is not evidence about a raw card.
What he is good atSkills 46 on the 20–80 scale, against 492 hitters at High-A
What he is good at
skills overall 46 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 492 hitters at High-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
54
above average · better than 67% at his level
21.9% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
41
well below · better than 19% at his level
.069 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
45
below average · better than 31% at his level
8.9% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 25% at his level
0 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
40
well below · better than 15% at his level · the result, not a skill
.535 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
51
average · better than 53% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 36th percentile of the cohort, production at the 15th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 81% of the players he is measured against.
The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.
How this is read: his skills average 36 and his production sits at 15, a gap of +21. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 492 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 81th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 3.6 / 10
- old for High-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe High-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 492 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
192
AVG
.195
OBP
.271
SLG
.264
OPS
.535
better than 15%
HR
1
SB
0
BB%
8.9
K%
21.9
Is this player getting better?
Down from .699 to .535 OPS, but he moved up to High-A — a step back at a harder level is normal.
Moved up from Low-A to High-A — the pitching is harder this year.
OPS
.699▼.535
Power
.087▼.069
Walks
9.9%▼8.9%
Strikeouts
18.8%▲21.9%
Last season, 181 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.
What his cards have sold for1 logged sale
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
- 2026-08-25 — $1.99 plus $1.49 shipping · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live market50 listed · 50 eBay-verified · 44 not shown above
- Listings
- 50
- Lowest live
- $3.49
- Median ask
- $8.99
- Cheapest 1st auto
- $3.49
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- $7.49
50 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 13 hours ago.
The other 44 cards
- $4.992023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Junior Tilien - New York MetsPASS
- $7.00Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Base #CPA-JT NrMtPASS
- $7.00Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Auto Base #CPA-JT NrMtPASS
- $7.49JUNIOR TILIEN 2023 TOPPS BOWMAN CHROME 1ST REFRACTOR AUTOGRAPH AUTO SP #/499 MLBPASS
- $7.982023 1st Bowman Chrome Refractor Junior Tilien Auto /499PASS
- $7.99Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JT NY MetsPASS
- $7.992023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JT MetsPASS
- $8.27Junior Tilien - 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Prospect Autograph - ON-CARD AUTOPASS
- $8.69JUNIOR TILIEN 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Green Shimmer AUTO /99 MetsPASS
- $8.982023 Bowman Junior Tilien Chrome Auto Blue Refractor 1st Prospect #/150 MetsPASS
- $8.99Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Blue Refractor /150 MetsPASS
- $8.992023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Prospect Auto Autograph #CPA-JT MetsPASS
- $9.242023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Auto Blue /150 MetsPASS
- $9.85Junior Tilien AU 2023 Bowman Chrome #CPA-JT 1st Prospect Auto Autograph NY MetsPASS
- $9.99Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph RC New York Mets C61PASS
- $10.422023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Refractor 256/499 Junior Tilien #CPA-JT Auto 0h4vPASS
- $10.562023 Bowman Chrome 1st Junior Tilien On Card Auto New York Mets SS #CPA-JTPASS
- $12.992023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Junior Tilien 1st Bowman AutoPASS
- $13.98Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st AUTO Atomic Refractor /100 PSA 9 MINT MetsPASS
- $14.77JUNIOR TILIEN 2023 Bowman 1st Chrome Prospect Auto Blue Pattern /150 SP METSPASS
- $14.99JUNIOR TILIEN AUTO 1st 2023 Bowman Chrome Autograph METS Rookie Card RCPASS
- $15.612023 BOWMAN CHROME JUNIOR TILIEN 84/299 SPECKLE REFRACTOR AUTO 1ST METS SPPASS
- $16.982023 Bowman Chrome JUNIOR TILIEN 1st Rookie SILVER REFRACTOR AUTO #/499 Mets RCPASS
- $18.162023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Prospect Autograph Auto #CPA-JT MetsPASS
- $18.45Junior Tilien - 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Autograph - PURPLE REFRACTOR AUTO /250PASS
- $19.612023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Green Refractor 90/99 Junior Tilien Auto 1u5yPASS
- $19.952023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien Bowman 1st AUTO METS Autograph CPA-JT - PSA 9PASS
- $21.452023 1st Bowman Chrome Prospect Junior Tilien Auto Refractor /499 #CPA-JT SGC 10PASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Bowman Auto MetsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Junior Tilien Chrome Auto 1st Prospect #CPA-JT MetsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Bowman Auto New York Mets #cpa-jt Rookie RCPASS
- —JUNIOR TILIEN 2023 BOWMAN CHROME 1ST AUTOGRAPH BASEBALL METS AUTOPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Bowman Auto MetePASS
- —2023 Bowman Junior Tilien Chrome Prospect Auto 1st #CPA-JTPASS
- —Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Auto Autograph RC New York Mets CPA-JT 🔥PASS
- —Junior Tilien 2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Bowman Refractor Auto /499 MetsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JT New York MetsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien 1st Bowman Auto #CPA-JT New York MetsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Prospect Junior Tilien 1st Bowman Auto Mets PSA 9 #CPA-JTPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome 1st Purple Refractor Auto Junior Tilien /250 MetsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien #CPA-JT Refractor /499 Auto (RC) MetsPASS
- —2023 Bowman Chrome Junior Tilien Rookie 1st Bowman Auto On Card SGC 9.5PASS
- —Junior Tilien 2023 1st Bowman Chrome Blue Auto /150 PSA 10 #CPAJTPASS
- —JUNIOR TILIEN 2023 BOWMAN CHROME AUTO SGC 10/10 Mets 1st Cpa-jt PASS
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Best Offer calculator — at least one of his live listings accepts offers
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run