Calvin Harris
C · Birmingham Barons · Double-A · 24.0y · #3461 of 7,922 we rate
- The player
- FRINGE
- The market
- Untested
- What to do
- Wait
40 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.
5 cards of his are listed and nothing comparable has verifiably sold, so we will not tell you whether the asks are fair.
Closest of his is 2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Calvin Harris…. Waiting on sales.
Our take
Fringe prospect, untested market.
Calvin Harris scores 40 out of 100 (#3461 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: contact: plus — 19.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 80% at his level.
Nothing of his has verifiably sold in 90 days and there is no benchmark price, so we will not tell you what his cards are worth.
Cards of his are listed and none of them can be priced against a confirmed sale, so any judgment about value today would be a guess dressed as a number.
The thing most likely to be wrong here: nothing has sold — no confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
The signal
Speed: below average
4 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
The case is fading
Baseball momentum 0/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.
Contact: plus
19.1% K — strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball Better than 80% at his level.
Premium position
C — the bat does not have to carry the whole profile.
Plate discipline: above average
13.2% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 77% at his level.
What the hobby pays up for
C sells at a discount at equal production; 24.0 is old for a prospect card.
Why now
No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.
What could go wrong
Nothing has sold
No confirmed sale of any card of his in 90 days, so nothing on this page can tell you what a fair price is.
Modeled value only
The fair values shown for his live cards are arithmetic from related evidence, not confirmed sales of the exact card.
What the hobby pays for him
A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.
Benchmark not yet established — no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
The card that matters
A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.
Canonical card not established — We have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.
Best value right now
Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.
Insufficient market evidence
No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.
What would make this a buy
- Waiting on sales
- Player not there yet
What is for sale right now
5 cards of his are listed, 2 held back on condition or a broken price · 0 of the 3 we can judge clear the investment bar. These are the 3 worth looking at, best first.
2023 Bowman Chrome Prospects Calvin Harris 1st Auto /199 Aqua Lava Refractor
/199 · raw · condition not stated · listed 14d
Waiting on sales · 1 other thing in the way
Data stale — Last confirmed live 56h ago — beyond the 48h bar. Needs a re-sight before the analysis is current.
—
modeled ~$14.76
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect Aqua Lava Refractor Calvin Harris Auto 14lm
Aqua Lava Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 3d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$23.07
modeled ~$8.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
2023 Bowman Draft Chrome Prospect HTA Choice Refractor Calvin Harris Auto 16i3
HTA Choice Refractor · raw · condition not stated · listed 4d
Not a core card · 3 other things in the way
Identity uncertain — whether this is a true 1st Bowman
$28.82
modeled ~$8.50
NEEDS EVIDENCE
What the same money buys today
Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Calvin Harris, just what the money can do today.
- Cole CarriggRefractor$14.98Watch42% under fair value
Compared within $11.54–$24.22, about what his own cheapest card costs. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.
Your research
Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.
Your target
The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.
Your notes
Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.
The evidence
Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.
The parallel ladder2 versions of his cards in raw autos, each priced off its own confirmed sales
Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.
Showing Raw autos.
NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT
No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.
- Aqua Lava RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $23.07, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $23.07 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- —
- HTA Choice RefractorTHIN EVIDENCE
Listed at $28.82, but nothing confirmed has sold on this rung.
- Sold
- —
- Live
- $28.82 live
- Scarcity
- unnumbered
- Trades
- no sales
- Premium
- +25%
Premium from asking prices, not sales
What he is good atSkills 52 on the 20–80 scale, against 496 hitters at Double-A
What he is good at
skills overall 52 / 80
On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 496 hitters at Double-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.
Contact
Can he hit it?
58
plus · better than 80% at his level
19.1% K
strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball
Power
Can he hit it hard?
49
average · better than 47% at his level
.137 ISO
isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases
Plate discipline
Does he pick his pitch?
57
above average · better than 77% at his level
13.2% BB
walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him
Speed
Can he run?
43
below average · better than 24% at his level
4 SB per 600 PA
stolen bases per full season of plate appearances
Production
Is it showing up in the box score?
47
average · better than 38% at his level · the result, not a skill
.672 OPS
on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill
Age for the level
Is he doing it young?
53
above average · better than 60% at his level · context, not a skill
0.0y vs his level
years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level
The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.
The argument
skills at the 57th percentile of the cohort, production at the 38th — the gap between the two is ordinary for this level.
Nothing to arbitrage here: he is producing about what his skills say he should. Judge the card on price and the player on the grades.
How this is read: his skills average 57 and his production sits at 38, a gap of +19. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 496 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 78th percentile.
Will he get there?
Long shot 4.6 / 10
- already at Double-A
- old for Double-A
This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.
How he is playingThe Double-A line, and how it compares with last season
Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 496 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".
PA
136
AVG
.216
OBP
.319
SLG
.353
OPS
.672
better than 38%
HR
4
SB
1
BB%
13.2
K%
19.1
What his cards have sold forno completed sales logged yet
Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.
No sales logged yet. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.
The whole live market5 listed · 5 eBay-verified
- Listings
- 5
- Lowest seen
- $23.07
- Median ask
- $25.95
- Cheapest 1st auto
- —
- Cheapest numbered 1st auto
- —
5 eBay-verified
Latest eBay verification: 14 hours ago.
What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him
What this page is missing
Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.
- We do not have a sold price in 90 days — add one and the whole price side fills in.
Worth reading for this player
- Parallel scarcity calculator — numbered parallels of his cards are in play, and print run drives the premium
- Certified vs aftermarket autographs — signed cards of his are listed, and the two kinds are not worth the same
- Parallels and print runs — his market includes numbered parallels, which are priced off the print run