Deal Sniper

Tyler Black

DH · Triple-A · 26.0y · #3158 of 7,922 we rate

The player
FRINGE

43 out of 100 — our all-round score from the season line, his tools against the level, and how young he is for it.

The market
Nothing listed

Nothing of his is in the store right now. That is a statement about inventory, not about the player — the search links at the foot of the page ask eBay directly.

What to do
Nothing to buy

No card of his is listed, and we have no benchmark price to set a target against yet.

Our take

Fringe prospect, nothing for sale.

Tyler Black scores 43 out of 100 (#3158 of the 7,922 we score), and the case rests on one thing: speed: plus — 37 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 89% at his level.

We have 1 confirmed sale of his cards in the last 90 days, but no standardized benchmark card yet, so the price side rests on whatever is listed rather than on one comparable series.

There is nothing of his to buy right now, so this is a page to come back to rather than act on.

The thing most likely to be wrong here: corner-only profile — dH carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

The signal

  • The case is fading

    Baseball momentum 33/100 — the on-field case is fading. Read from his baseball alone — never from what his cards did.

  • Speed: plus

    37 SB per 600 PA — stolen bases per full season of plate appearances Better than 89% at his level.

  • Bat-first profile

    DH — there is no defensive value to fall back on, so the bat has to play.

  • Plate discipline: plus

    15.4% BB — walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him Better than 85% at his level.

Why now

No catalyst right now — no promotion, no logged step change, and no measurable move in his card prices. This is a valuation-driven watch rather than a timing one.

What could go wrong

  • Corner-only profile

    DH carries no defensive fallback — if the bat does not play, there is no version of this that works.

  • Thin comp evidence

    1 confirmed sale in 90 days. Treat any value here as a single data point, not a price.

  • Nothing to buy

    No card of his is listed in the store right now, so none of the market reading above is actionable today.

What the hobby pays for him

A benchmark is the one standardized card we track a player's market on, so every player's price means the same thing.

Benchmark not yet established no 1st Bowman vehicle observed for this player. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

The card that matters

A card-quality answer, not a price one. It does not change when a seller changes their mind.

Canonical card not establishedWe have not assigned him a benchmark card yet, so there is no canonical answer to give. Until one exists, only his individual listings can be judged.

Best value right now

Where the money would go today, which is frequently a lesser card than the one above — or nowhere.

Insufficient market evidence

No live ask and no confirmed sale on any version of his cards, so there is nothing here to call good or bad value.

What would make this a buy

  • Something of his has to be listed before there is anything to act on.
  • A promotion, or a stretch that lifts the season line, would move the player side of this.

What is for sale right now

No live listings. Nothing of his is in the store right now.

What the same money buys today

Nothing of his is worth buying right now. These live cards from other players are the ones we rate as a buy or a watch at the same budget — not a view on Tyler Black, just what the money can do today.

Compared within under $40.00, your stated ceiling. Ranked on the price-blind investment score among the 60 live listings we had scored — a read on what we scanned, not on the whole market.

Your research

Private to you. What you are waiting for, and why — so next time you open this page you do not have to remember.

Your target

The price you are waiting for, and why. Private to you.

Create a free account to track this price.

Your notes

Sign in to keep your research — private notes on what you are watching and why.

The evidence

Everything the reading above is built on. Open whichever part you want to check.

The parallel ladder1 version of his cards in psa 9, each priced off its own confirmed sales

Every version of his cards we can see, base to 1/1. Each rung is priced off its own confirmed sales — a rung nothing has verifiably sold at shows no value rather than borrowing a neighbour's.

Showing PSA 9.

NO CLEAR SWEET SPOT

No rung of his has a confirmed sale behind it, so there is no price to compare any step against.

  • /25 and underTHIN EVIDENCE

    1 listing watched off the board here, none confirmed sold — no price to judge.

    Sold
    Live
    nothing listed
    Scarcity
    10 made
    Trades
    no sales
    Premium
What he is good atSkills 55 on the 20–80 scale, against 728 hitters at Triple-A

What he is good at

skills overall 55 / 80

On the 20–80 scale every scouting report uses: 50 is average, and every 10 points is one standard deviation. Measured against 728 hitters at Triple-A — measured against real players at the same level right now — not a scout's projection of what he becomes.

  • Contact

    Can he hit it?

    51

    average · better than 52% at his level

    22.3% K

    strikeout rate, inverted — lower means more bat-to-ball

  • Power

    Can he hit it hard?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level

    .132 ISO

    isolated power — slugging minus batting average, so hits that go for extra bases

  • Plate discipline

    Does he pick his pitch?

    60

    plus · better than 85% at his level

    15.4% BB

    walk rate — higher means he makes pitchers come to him

  • Speed

    Can he run?

    62

    plus · better than 89% at his level

    37 SB per 600 PA

    stolen bases per full season of plate appearances

  • Production

    Is it showing up in the box score?

    48

    average · better than 41% at his level · the result, not a skill

    .723 OPS

    on-base plus slugging — the result, which carries the luck as well as the skill

  • Age for the level

    Is he doing it young?

    52

    average · better than 59% at his level · context, not a skill

    0.0y vs his level

    years younger than the median player at his level — positive is young for the level

The overall figure averages the 4 skill rows only. The box-score row and the age row are shown but deliberately left out of it — one is the result those skills produced, and the other is not a skill at all.

The argument

skills at the 67th percentile of the cohort, production at the 41th — his tools run further ahead of his results than 87% of the players he is measured against.

The market prices the stat line, and his is behind what he is doing. That is where a card is cheap for a reason that can change.

How this is read: his skills average 67 and his production sits at 41, a gap of +26. That gap on its own means little — an average of several percentiles always sits nearer the middle than a single one — so it is ranked against the same figure computed the same way for the 726 players at his level we hold a full profile for, where it lands at the 87th percentile.

Will he get there?

Real chance 5.7 / 10

  • already at Triple-A
  • old for Triple-A

This is an ordering score, not a percentage. We hold no outcome data and have run no backtest, so “a 93% chance of reaching the majors” would be a number we made up and you then spent money on. Built on 100% of what it wants to know.

How he is playingThe Triple-A line, and how it compares with last season

Hover any stat to see what it means. How each compares with the 728 other hitters at his level is graded in "What he is good at".

PA

345

AVG

.231

OBP

.360

SLG

.363

OPS

.723

better than 41%

HR

6

SB

21

BB%

15.4

K%

22.3

Is this player getting better?

About the same as last season — .729 to .723 OPS.

Still at Triple-A, the same level as last season.

OPS

.729.723

Power

.117.132

Walks

16.0%15.4%

Strikeouts

26.5%22.3%

Last season, 268 times at bat. Two seasons that already happened. Nothing here is a prediction.

What his cards have sold for1 logged sale

Real completed sales only — nothing here is an estimate. These come from the scan: it asks eBay about listings it has already seen, and one that ends at a fixed price is recorded as a sale. That builds up over days. You can add one by hand below if you happen to know it, but you are not meant to be the price database.

Only 1 sale logged so far. We need at least two to draw a line, and about five spread over a month before the numbers mean much. Add sales you find using the button below.

Look up past sales on eBay
  • 2026-08-26$39.99 plus $6.25 shipping · /10 · graded PSA 9 · tracked disappearance — not a confirmed sale proof
The whole live marketnothing of his is listed

Nothing of his is in the store right now. That is a statement about inventory, not about the player — the search links at the foot of the page ask eBay directly.

What this page is missing1 thing we do not hold for him

What this page is missing

Everything above is built from what we actually hold. These are the gaps, so you know which parts of the argument are thin rather than wondering why a panel is quiet.

  • We do not have a live card to price.

Worth reading for this player